Towards Uniformly Efficient Trend Estimation Under Weak/Strong Correlation and Non‐stationary Volatility

In this paper, we consider the deterministic trend model where the error process is allowed to be weakly or strongly correlated and subject to non‐stationary volatility. Extant estimators of the trend coefficient are analysed. We find that under heteroskedasticity, the Cochrane–Orcutt‐type estimator (with some initial condition) could be less efficient than Ordinary Least Squares (OLS) when the process is highly persistent, whereas it is asymptotically equivalent to OLS when the process is less persistent. An efficient non‐parametrically weighted Cochrane–Orcutt‐type estimator is then proposed. The efficiency is uniform over weak or strong serial correlation and non‐stationary volatility of unknown form. The feasible estimator relies on non‐parametric estimation of the volatility function, and the asymptotic theory is provided. We use the data‐dependent smoothing bandwidth that can automatically adjust for the strength of non‐stationarity in volatilities. The implementation does not require pretesting persistence of the process or specification of non‐stationary volatility. Finite‐sample evaluation via simulations and an empirical application demonstrates the good performance of proposed estimators.     

具有带误差逼近的赋值伪压缩映像的公共不动点迭代序列

在实一致光滑Banach空间中引入了一类新的逼近三个极值强伪压缩映象唯一公共不动点的带误差迭代序列,以及通过Petryshyn不等式讨论了该带误差迭代序列的收敛性.     

四川地区农民持续增收的制约因素分析

根据四川省统计局的历年数据,本文分析了四川省农民收入增长的规律：改革来,四川农民收入总量上呈现逐年增长、增幅减缓的特征;四川农民收入水平在全国的排位下降。宏观经济分析表明,影响农民收入持续增长的主要有外部因素如制度障碍、农业投入不足、农资价格上涨等,内部因素如生产结构不合理、基础设施脆弱和农民素质不高等方面。因此,要构建农民增收的长效机制必须突破制度障碍。     

A Semi-parametric Regression Model with Errors in Variables

Abstract.  In this paper, we consider a partial linear regression model with measurement errors in possibly all the variables. We use a method of moments and deconvolution to construct a new class of parametric estimators together with a non-parametric kernel estimator. Strong convergence, optimal rate of weak convergence and asymptotic normality of the estimators are investigated.     

论当前的物欲型犯罪

当前的物欲型犯罪有其经济根源和直接原因 ,其动机、行为方式及侵害对象具有一些带规律性的特点 ;犯罪人在市场经济中的地位 ,决定了其犯罪动机和行为方式。尤其少部分身居高位、掌握实权的领导干部或国有企业负责人对个人财富、权力的不当追求 ,导致权钱交易、化公为私 ,造成国有财产的大量流失。这种犯罪不断发生的重要原因是 ,国有财产所有者虚位 ;应从源头上遏制此类犯罪的蔓延     

《中华人民共和国会计法》英译文简评

评述了我国会计法英译文中突出存在的词汇和句法两个方面的主要错误 ,指出在翻译中国法律文件时要做到的一点是遵循一定的法律文件英译规律 ,如突出法律行为的主体、不滥用被动句、遵守原文的句型等 ,并且要吃透原文而加以忠实翻译 ,呼吁提高国家级的法律文件英译文的质量 ,尽快开展省级涉外法规的英译及其规范化工作     

语篇的衔接与连贯问题

语篇源自语言交际,是高于句子的层面,表示一个整体意义;语篇的衔接与连贯,分属两个概念,应该区别对待。语篇对于连贯的依赖似乎更为明显:衔接方式得当但语义不贯通的话语不是合格的语篇,衔接方式不明显但语义贯通的话语是合格的语篇;立足于语篇的基础理论,有利于我们提高对衔接与连贯的理性思考,可有效地防止在语篇分析过程中出现较大的偏误。     

有错检验情况下标准型抽样方案的设计

本文给出了在有错检验情况下标准型抽样方案的设计方法，讨论了误检概率ｐ，ｐ′对抽样方案的影响，并给出抽样方案的实际应用。     

反馈型振荡器起振条件的新研究

阐述了目前被广泛应用的对于反馈型振荡器的分析方法在描述起振条件和稳定条件时存在严重的逻辑缺陷。提出了一种普适的起振条件判据,推导出两组具体而又具有实际指导意义的起振条件判据,阐明了不存在“频率稳定条件”的理由。     

More (new) products,more problems? A systems perspective on increased capability deployment and organizational errors

The capabilities-based view postulates that organizational capabilities are a key driver of competitive advantage. However, while increasing the pace of deploying organizational capabilities, such as new product development (NPD), may enable alignment with changing environments, it may also have unintended consequences. In this study, we advance theory on these unintended consequences by investigating how the increased deployment of NPD capability leads to organizational errors. Borrowing from organizational research employing systems theory, we argue that an increase in NPD deployment may increase the likelihood of routine discoordination and, thus, the incidence of intra-firm and interfirm errors. However, we also proffer that firms can mitigate errors from increases in NPD capability deployment by engaging in distinct internal and external activities that enable the accumulation of knowledge on how to coordinate systemic change. We distinguish between internal and external errors, demonstrating that in the context of increased NPD deployments, internal voluntary investigations ameliorate internal manufacturing errors, while supplier alliances mitigate outsourced component errors. We find support for our predictions using data from new product introductions and recalls in the U.S. automotive industry. This study sheds light on the tension inherent to accelerating the deployment of patterned organizational activities and suggests that the outcomes of deploying an organizational capability are best viewed holistically within the milieu of organizational systems the capability spans.