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1.
Dennis Wagenaar Tiaravanni Hermawan Marc J. C. van den Homberg Jeroen C. J. H. Aerts Heidi Kreibich Hans de Moel Laurens M. Bouwer 《Risk analysis》2021,41(1):37-55
Damage models for natural hazards are used for decision making on reducing and transferring risk. The damage estimates from these models depend on many variables and their complex sometimes nonlinear relationships with the damage. In recent years, data‐driven modeling techniques have been used to capture those relationships. The available data to build such models are often limited. Therefore, in practice it is usually necessary to transfer models to a different context. In this article, we show that this implies the samples used to build the model are often not fully representative for the situation where they need to be applied on, which leads to a “sample selection bias.” In this article, we enhance data‐driven damage models by applying methods, not previously applied to damage modeling, to correct for this bias before the machine learning (ML) models are trained. We demonstrate this with case studies on flooding in Europe, and typhoon wind damage in the Philippines. Two sample selection bias correction methods from the ML literature are applied and one of these methods is also adjusted to our problem. These three methods are combined with stochastic generation of synthetic damage data. We demonstrate that for both case studies, the sample selection bias correction techniques reduce model errors, especially for the mean bias error this reduction can be larger than 30%. The novel combination with stochastic data generation seems to enhance these techniques. This shows that sample selection bias correction methods are beneficial for damage model transfer. 相似文献
2.
Eileen Munro 《Child & Family Social Work》2019,24(1):123-130
The argument is made for having a positive error culture in child protection to improve decision‐making and risk management. This requires organizations to accept that mistakes are likely and to treat them as opportunities for learning and improving. In contrast, in many organizations, a punitive reaction to errors leads to workers hiding them and developing a defensive approach to their practice with children and families. The safety management literature has shown how human error is generally not simply due to a “bad apple” but made more or less likely by the work context that helps or hinders good performance. Improving safety requires learning about the weaknesses in the organization that contribute to poor performance. To create a learning culture, people need to feel that when they talk about mistakes or weak practice, there will be a constructive response from their organization. One aspect of reducing the blame culture is to develop a shared understanding of how practice will be judged and how those appraising practice will avoid the hindsight bias. To facilitate a positive error culture, a set of risk principles are presented that offer a set of criteria by which practice should be appraised. 相似文献
3.
《加利福尼亚州高等教育总体规划(1960—1975)》是区域高等教育战略规划领域的成功范例,规划内容通过州宪法性效力、州法律法规性效力以及行业约定性效力三种形式发挥作用。准确把握关键问题、秉持院校自治理念、深入开展调研等做法值得借鉴。我国区域高等教育机遇与挑战并存,教育规划应当坚持治理理念、以人为本理念和系统论理念,对区域高校定位作出合理预期与安排,引导区域高等教育健康和谐发展。 相似文献
4.
关于地方高校学报改革和发展的思考 总被引:4,自引:0,他引:4
罗建军 《江汉大学学报(社会科学版)》2004,21(4):22-24
地方高校学报在全面反映高校科研和教学成果,促进校内外、国内外学术交流方面发挥了重要作用,但还存有“全、散、小、弱”的状况。为改变这种状况,必须以改革求发展:一是走集弱成强和强强合并之路;二是有条件地逐步与市场经济结合。可采取创办联合学报,以有实力的学校为龙头合并小弱学报,实行开门办刊,建立论文评审专家组,实施“名栏工程”等改革措施。 相似文献
5.
Adam S. Weinberg 《Qualitative sociology》2002,25(2):263-272
Can universities be agents of progressive social change? How would we know if a university was acting as an agent of social change? Drawing on four case studies, I raise a number of questions to problematize our understanding of the university as an agent of social change. I outline a number of contributing factors that appear to explain successful cases. I conclude by arguing the relevancy of these cases for larger, and more traditional, sociological projects. 相似文献
6.
C. Eddie Palmer E. Joseph Savoie 《Sociological Practice: A Journal of Clinical and Applied Sociology》2002,4(1):89-97
Service-learning programs are not free from challenges brought about by lack of financial support, lack of widespread commitment from professors, community agencies, and recipients of service, and lack of knowledge and insight in students directly involved in such programs. While service-learning initiatives and programs serve positive functions for organizations and individuals, rhetorical accolades for service learning can distort or omit the realities of program implementation and sustained delivery. This paper specifically explores the following challenges connected to service-learning programs: (1) pedagogical difficulties; (2) student limitations; (3) time constraints; and (4) community cooperation. 相似文献
7.
关于高校办公室网络化管理的思考 总被引:4,自引:0,他引:4
米密 《重庆工商大学学报(社会科学版)》2002,19(6):110-111
随着科学技术和高等教育的发展,网络也广泛运用于高校办公室的管理工作,并在其中起着重要的作用。 相似文献
8.
构建现代远程开放教育考试体系初探 总被引:2,自引:0,他引:2
刘创 《重庆邮电学院学报(社会科学版)》2002,3(3):79-80,96
现代远程开放教育是基于以学习者为中心的开放学习和个别化学习。我们应从素质教育的培养目标出发 ,依据现代考试测量理论 ,利用现代科技手段 ,建立现代远程开放教育考试体系 ,客观、准确地评价学习者的进步状况以及在学识、能力等方面达到的水平 ,使学习者在学习过程中不断自我完善 ,培养他们积极进取的精神 相似文献
9.
19世纪后半期美国女子高等教育发展的历史动因分析 总被引:4,自引:0,他引:4
王保星 《河北大学学报(哲学社会科学版)》2002,27(3):97-102
19世纪后半期美国女子高等教育的发展主要表现为女子学院、附属女子学院的创办以及男女合校教育的推行。这一发展是女子高等教育观念、工业化发展、女权运动勃兴、战争影响等诸多社会因素综合作用的结果。这一时期美国女子高等教育的发展极大地丰富了美国现代高等教育制度的内涵。 相似文献
10.
丁胜斋 《武汉科技大学学报(社会科学版)》2002,4(3):27-29
为了实现教育资源的优化组合 ,近年来国家对许多高等院校进行了合并、划转和调整。在合并后的高校各校区之间出现大量的拨入、拨出经费 ,往来结算等财务核算工作。从而产生了一项新型的、类似于企业集团的会计工作———期末会计报表的合并及调整工作。本文拟就高校合并后的期末会计报表的合并及调整工作 ,结合笔者在相关业务工作中的实际 ,作一些探讨 相似文献