Partial Identification of Economic Mobility: With an Application to the United States

Abstract

The economic mobility of individuals and households is of fundamental interest. While many measures of economic mobility exist, reliance on transition matrices remains pervasive due to simplicity and ease of interpretation. However, estimation of transition matrices is complicated by the well-acknowledged problem of measurement error in self-reported and even administrative data. Existing methods of addressing measurement error are complex, rely on numerous strong assumptions, and often require data from more than two periods. In this article, we investigate what can be learned about economic mobility as measured via transition matrices while formally accounting for measurement error in a reasonably transparent manner. To do so, we develop a nonparametric partial identification approach to bound transition probabilities under various assumptions on the measurement error and mobility processes. This approach is applied to panel data from the United States to explore short-run mobility before and after the Great Recession.     

Projective Identification as a Contributor to Domestic Violence

Many explanations have been given as to why men batter. Rarely are deep unconscious intrapsychic processes identified as contributing reasons. One way that violent men may use their partner to fill emotional needs is through the primitive defense of projective identification. Projective identification may be invoked by men to induce the other partner to carry split off threatening parts of the self that are too anxiety provoking to retain. The occurrence of projective identification could therefore be an important intrapsychic and interpersonal dynamic that contributes to the escalation of tension prior to the violent episode.     

凯瑟琳爱情悲剧动因解析

凯瑟琳是《呼啸山庄》的女主角,凯瑟琳的爱是灵魂与肉体相脱离的情爱,充满不可调和的矛盾与冲突。她对希克厉的爱是精神之爱、灵魂之爱、自恋之爱,而对林敦的爱是肉体之爱、物化之爱、补偿之爱。凯瑟琳接受并爱着两个性格迥异的痴心汉,其对情爱的贪欲超过其心理承受的载荷,令其心理冲突绵延不辍。在两极爱欲的矛盾悖谬中,她忍受着精神的自我摧残,不只酿就了爱情悲剧,而且最终招致肉体的过早销亡。     

“民工荒”：产业结构升级的契机——透视“民工荒”现象

在我国农村大量剩余劳动力需要转移、城市就业形势严峻的情况下,我国东南沿海地区出现"民工荒"现象值得关注。对此问题,众多学者曾从不同角度进行了分析,但大多是就现象而论。这里则从产业结构升级与相应的人力资源素质关系分析出发,认为"民工荒"是民工素质与产业结构升级不适应的结果,其根源在于民工双重身份所衍生的诸多问题,对此背后之原因进行了深入分析,同时就"民工荒"现象带来的警示进行了揭释。     

Estimation of Metabolic Rate Constants in PBPK‐Models from Liver Slice Experiments: What Are the Experimental Needs?

A mechanistic model is presented describing the clearance of a compound in a precision-cut liver slice that is incubated in a culture medium. The problem of estimating metabolic rate constants in PBPK models from liver slice experiments is discussed using identifiability analysis. From the identifiability problem analysis, it appears that in addition to the clearance, the compound's free fraction in the slice and the diffusion rate of the exchange of the compound between culture medium and liver slice should be identified. In addition, knowledge of the culture medium volume, the slice volume, the compound's free fraction, and octanol-water-based partition between medium and slice is presupposed. The formal solution for identification is discussed from the perspective of experimental practice. A formally necessary condition for identification is the sampling of parent compound in liver slice or culture medium. However, due to experimental limitations and errors, sampling the parent compound in the slice together with additional sampling of metabolite pooled from the medium and the slice is required for identification in practice. Moreover, it appears that identification results are unreliable when the value of the intrinsic clearance exceeds the value of the diffusion coefficient, a condition to be verified a posteriori.     

论拉伦茨氏裁判方法的实质

使用传统的判案理论系统分析了拉伦茨氏的方法论体系。指出，拉伦茨氏方法论的基础是欧洲传统“名判”逻辑，其设定目标乃个案公决。拉伦茨氏强调了法官“续造法”的权力。所续造的“法”不是条法，而是曾经自主运用诸条法的模式，它理应有“现行法”的拘束力。“条法库”的缺漏由审判员以法律运用技术补足。诸准则之不谐或与宪法条法的不谐需赖“法益衡量”调谐。分析结论是，拉伦茨氏片面突出法官的自主地位，其方法论在本质上是现代法治社会一种尚需调制的折衷系统。     

定期租船合同下承运人识别问题研究

在海上货物运输中，以定期租船运输货物时，无论是船东，还是承租人都可能成为承运人。如何确定海上货物运输合同责任主体是海事审判实践中亟待解决的一个理论和实际问题。该文系统分析了定期租船合同下承运人识别问题产生的渊源、承运人识别的依据及其方法，在此基础上作者提出了解决定期租船合同下承运人识别问题的初步建议。     

一种基于Web的身份鉴别策略及其实现

介绍了Java服务端网页在IBM WebSphere平台上进行电子商务系统开发的相关原理和模型,提出了一种基于Web方式的用户身份鉴别策略,改进了以往在对用户身份鉴别时需要自己输入密码的方式。整个处理流程遵循J2EE规范,并贯穿了Web应用模式的三层体系结构,在存储过程中完成认证,这种方法对提高电子商务系统的安全性有一定的现实意义。     

The Boston Area Diary Study and the Moral Citizenship of Care

This paper describes the theoretical foundations, empirical findings, and practical and philosophical implications of the Boston Area Diary Study (BADS), a study of the caring behavior of 44 participants over one calendar year. In particular, the paper presents an identification theory of care and discusses how it shaped the conceptualization, collection, and analysis of the data in a year-long diary study of daily voluntary assistance. The findings from the BADS (1) theoretically confirm the identification theory of care; (2) methodologically capture how individuals perceive and carry out caring behavior as a unity; and (3rpar; empirically document the existence of a moral citizenship in America that is substantially more vigorous than is implied by the usual indicators of civic and political citizenship.     

转子动不平衡载荷的在线识别

本文提出用复模态影响系数来解决转了大衡的在线以别和诊断问题，讨论了影响系数矩阵的力学意义．试验中可不加试重求出影响系数，并编制了相应的计算程序．