Implied Preference for Seismic Design Level and Earthquake Insurance

Seismic risk can be reduced by implementing newly developed seismic provisions in design codes. Furthermore, financial protection or enhanced utility and happiness for stakeholders could be gained through the purchase of earthquake insurance. If this is not so, there would be no market for such insurance. However, perceived benefit associated with insurance is not universally shared by stakeholders partly due to their diverse risk attitudes. This study investigates the implied seismic design preference with insurance options for decisionmakers of bounded rationality whose preferences could be adequately represented by the cumulative prospect theory (CPT). The investigation is focused on assessing the sensitivity of the implied seismic design preference with insurance options to model parameters of the CPT and to fair and unfair insurance arrangements. Numerical results suggest that human cognitive limitation and risk perception can affect the implied seismic design preference by the CPT significantly. The mandatory purchase of fair insurance will lead the implied seismic design preference to the optimum design level that is dictated by the minimum expected lifecycle cost rule. Unfair insurance decreases the expected gain as well as its associated variability, which is preferred by risk-averse decisionmakers. The obtained results of the implied preference for the combination of the seismic design level and insurance option suggest that property owners, financial institutions, and municipalities can take advantage of affordable insurance to establish successful seismic risk management strategies.     

斜腿刚构桥几何布局的优化设计

采用数学规划的方法从静力和动力两方面对斜腿刚构桥的几何布局进行优化设计。静力优化设计的优化目标是截面截面应力平方均值最小，动力优化设计的优化目标是结构自振周期平方和最小。采用了直接搜索法寻优。通过算例可知，这两种优化设计方法均可行，且均为刚性设计。     

Some results on optimality in models with heteroscedastic errors from partial optimum designs

This paper studies optimum designs for linear models when the errors are heteroscedastic. Sufficient conditions are given in order to obtainD-, A- andE-optimum designs for a complete regression model from partial optimum designs for some sub-parameters. A result about optimality for a complete model from the optimality for the submodels is included. Supported by Junta de Andalucía, research group FQM244.     

区域发展中资源地域空间配置优化计量与微观均衡研究

本文在区域资源地域空间优化计量分析的基础上 ,对区域资源地域空间配置效应、微观主体地域空间运动、资源地域空间配置均衡进行微观比较研究 ,指出微观主体地域空间移动有利于区域资源地域空间配置效率的提高     

动力减振器最优参数的非线性回归和若干问题

本文采用最优化方法求得考虑生系统阻尼的动力减振器最优参数集，并对此参数集进行非线性回归，得到了便于动力减振器最优设计的回归曲线族。本文还对现有的主系统无阻尼时动力减振器最优参数公式进行了讨论，指出了这些公式的局限性，并根据本文的结果给出了应用范围更广泛的改进公式。     

Early stopping in seamless phase I/II clinical trials

In recent years, seamless phase I/II clinical trials have drawn much attention, as they consider both toxicity and efficacy endpoints in finding an optimal dose (OD). Engaging an appropriate number of patients in a trial is a challenging task. This paper attempts a dynamic stopping rule to save resources in phase I/II trials. That is, the stopping rule aims to save patients from unnecessary toxic or subtherapeutic doses. We allow a trial to stop early when widths of the confidence intervals for the dose-response parameters become narrower or when the sample size is equal to a predefined size, whichever comes first. The simulation study of dose-response scenarios in various settings demonstrates that the proposed stopping rule can engage an appropriate number of patients. Therefore, we suggest its use in clinical trials.     

积分变换求梁的变形

本文从求解梁挠度的二阶差分方程出发，通过Z变换，最后推导出计算挠度和转角的简单公式，使计算过程简化。对于变截面梁和复杂受载下，此法尤为简便。同时，这也是处理离散参数的数学方法—Z变换在力学中应用的初步尝试。     

An improved alternative estimation procedure for current population mean in presence of positively and negatively correlated auxiliary variables in two-occasion rotation patterns

Abstract

The present study confirms the influential role of a positively and a negatively correlated auxiliary variables in enhancing the precision of estimates of current population mean in two occasion rotation (successive) sampling. Exponential-type estimators of current population mean have been proposed for three different situations: (i) the information on a positively correlated auxiliary variable is readily available on both occasions (ii) the information on a negatively correlated auxiliary variable is readily available on both occasions and (iii) the information on both positively and negatively correlated auxiliary variables are readily available on both the occasions. The characteristics of the proposed estimators have been explored and their efficacious performances are compared with the natural and recent contemporary estimators. Optimum replacement strategies of the proposed estimation procedures have been formulated. Simulation and empirical studies are carried out to justify the proposition of the proposed estimators and appropriate recommendations have been put forward to the survey practitioners.     

车载高压天然气钢瓶的结构优化

文章对34CrMo4钢质车载天然气气瓶进行了水压爆破试验和水压疲劳试验,运用有限元软件ANSYS分析了气瓶的爆破压力与疲劳寿命。并通过ANSYS的优化模块对气瓶进行了结构优化设计。分析结果表明文中的计算方法准确,可作为工程上CNG气瓶结构设计时的参考方法。     

碱、表面活性剂和聚合物为主的三元复合驱油体系相行为研究

通过研究不同浓度Na2 CO3、KPS存在的条件下复合驱油体系的相行为变化 ,找到了形成中相最佳区的条件 ,揭示了相行为与油水界面张力及表面活性剂在不同相间分配量大小的相关性 ,从临界胶束浓度变化对相态转变机理给予合理解释。