全文获取类型
收费全文 | 2464篇 |
免费 | 57篇 |
国内免费 | 9篇 |
专业分类
管理学 | 93篇 |
民族学 | 3篇 |
人口学 | 22篇 |
丛书文集 | 53篇 |
理论方法论 | 21篇 |
综合类 | 556篇 |
社会学 | 25篇 |
统计学 | 1757篇 |
出版年
2024年 | 1篇 |
2023年 | 9篇 |
2022年 | 8篇 |
2021年 | 12篇 |
2020年 | 40篇 |
2019年 | 63篇 |
2018年 | 82篇 |
2017年 | 128篇 |
2016年 | 52篇 |
2015年 | 52篇 |
2014年 | 91篇 |
2013年 | 713篇 |
2012年 | 203篇 |
2011年 | 78篇 |
2010年 | 105篇 |
2009年 | 75篇 |
2008年 | 87篇 |
2007年 | 77篇 |
2006年 | 89篇 |
2005年 | 73篇 |
2004年 | 66篇 |
2003年 | 58篇 |
2002年 | 49篇 |
2001年 | 50篇 |
2000年 | 48篇 |
1999年 | 34篇 |
1998年 | 21篇 |
1997年 | 28篇 |
1996年 | 26篇 |
1995年 | 23篇 |
1994年 | 13篇 |
1993年 | 15篇 |
1992年 | 12篇 |
1991年 | 7篇 |
1990年 | 6篇 |
1989年 | 8篇 |
1988年 | 6篇 |
1987年 | 2篇 |
1986年 | 2篇 |
1985年 | 3篇 |
1984年 | 1篇 |
1983年 | 3篇 |
1982年 | 2篇 |
1981年 | 1篇 |
1980年 | 3篇 |
1979年 | 3篇 |
1978年 | 2篇 |
排序方式: 共有2530条查询结果,搜索用时 15 毫秒
1.
AbstractThe economic mobility of individuals and households is of fundamental interest. While many measures of economic mobility exist, reliance on transition matrices remains pervasive due to simplicity and ease of interpretation. However, estimation of transition matrices is complicated by the well-acknowledged problem of measurement error in self-reported and even administrative data. Existing methods of addressing measurement error are complex, rely on numerous strong assumptions, and often require data from more than two periods. In this article, we investigate what can be learned about economic mobility as measured via transition matrices while formally accounting for measurement error in a reasonably transparent manner. To do so, we develop a nonparametric partial identification approach to bound transition probabilities under various assumptions on the measurement error and mobility processes. This approach is applied to panel data from the United States to explore short-run mobility before and after the Great Recession. 相似文献
2.
Stephen J. Ruberg Frank E. Harrell Jr. Margaret Gamalo-Siebers Lisa LaVange J. Jack Lee Karen Price 《The American statistician》2019,73(1):319-327
ABSTRACTThe cost and time of pharmaceutical drug development continue to grow at rates that many say are unsustainable. These trends have enormous impact on what treatments get to patients, when they get them and how they are used. The statistical framework for supporting decisions in regulated clinical development of new medicines has followed a traditional path of frequentist methodology. Trials using hypothesis tests of “no treatment effect” are done routinely, and the p-value < 0.05 is often the determinant of what constitutes a “successful” trial. Many drugs fail in clinical development, adding to the cost of new medicines, and some evidence points blame at the deficiencies of the frequentist paradigm. An unknown number effective medicines may have been abandoned because trials were declared “unsuccessful” due to a p-value exceeding 0.05. Recently, the Bayesian paradigm has shown utility in the clinical drug development process for its probability-based inference. We argue for a Bayesian approach that employs data from other trials as a “prior” for Phase 3 trials so that synthesized evidence across trials can be utilized to compute probability statements that are valuable for understanding the magnitude of treatment effect. Such a Bayesian paradigm provides a promising framework for improving statistical inference and regulatory decision making. 相似文献
3.
Rodolphe Priam 《统计学通讯:理论与方法》2020,49(18):4468-4489
AbstractThe mean estimators with ratio depend on multiple auxiliary variables and unknown parameters in a finite population setting. We propose a new generalized approach with matrices for modeling the mutivariate mean estimators with two auxiliary variables. Our approach brings naturally a graphical analysis for comparing mean estimators. 相似文献
4.
龙江华 《湖北民族学院学报(哲学社会科学版)》2002,20(2):108-112
通过深入分析非英语专业大学生英语作文中出现的内容、篇章结构、语言表达等方面的非语法错误,提出了写前阶段构思、审题技巧训练及寓写作于精读课教学等相应的纠错策略。 相似文献
5.
On Optimality of Bayesian Wavelet Estimators 总被引:2,自引:0,他引:2
Felix Abramovich Umberto Amato Claudia Angelini 《Scandinavian Journal of Statistics》2004,31(2):217-234
Abstract. We investigate the asymptotic optimality of several Bayesian wavelet estimators, namely, posterior mean, posterior median and Bayes Factor, where the prior imposed on wavelet coefficients is a mixture of a mass function at zero and a Gaussian density. We show that in terms of the mean squared error, for the properly chosen hyperparameters of the prior, all the three resulting Bayesian wavelet estimators achieve optimal minimax rates within any prescribed Besov space for p ≥ 2. For 1 ≤ p < 2, the Bayes Factor is still optimal for (2 s +2)/(2 s +1) ≤ p < 2 and always outperforms the posterior mean and the posterior median that can achieve only the best possible rates for linear estimators in this case. 相似文献
6.
分析了影响数控火焰切割机加工精度的主要因素,利用开放式数控系统的软件开放性,提出了采用IGCAQBP学习算法的神经网络方法来对包括金属热变形、机械传动误差等非线性因素在内的多种因素造成的加工误差进行误差补偿,设计了嵌入开放式数控系统中的神经网络误差补偿器,给出了实用的补偿器使用方法,并对误差补偿功能进行了扩展,仿真结果和实际应用表明该方法稳定有效。 相似文献
7.
针对串联型稳压器,设计了一种应用于串联型稳压器具有自建基准的新型误差放大电路。该电路具有构思巧妙,结构优化,易于集成及较高的开环增益,共模抑制比及交流特性的优点。通过验证,实测数据与仿真结果基本一致。 相似文献
8.
We discuss Bayesian analyses of traditional normal-mixture models for classification and discrimination. The development involves application of an iterative resampling approach to Monte Carlo inference, commonly called Gibbs sampling, and demonstrates routine application. We stress the benefits of exact analyses over traditional classification and discrimination techniques, including the ease with which such analyses may be performed in a quite general setting, with possibly several normal-mixture components having different covariance matrices, the computation of exact posterior classification probabilities for observed data and for future cases to be classified, and posterior distributions for these probabilities that allow for assessment of second-level uncertainties in classification. 相似文献
9.
Angelo Zanella 《Statistical Methods and Applications》1992,1(1):143-160
Summary For technological applications it can be useful to identify some simple physical mechanisms, which, on the basis of the available
knowledge of the production process, may suggest the most appropriate approach to statistical control of the random quantities
of interest. For this purpose the notion of rupture point is introduced firstly. A rupture point is characterized bym randomly arising out of control states, assumed to be mutually exclusive and stochastically independent. Shewhart's control
charts seem to represent the natural statistical tool for controlling a rupture point; however it is shown that they are fully
justified only when the hazard rates attached to the causes of failure are constant. Otherwise, typically in the presence
of time increasing hazard rates, Shewhart's control charts should be completed by a preventive intervention rule (preventive
maintenance). In the second place, the notion of dynamic instability point is introduced, which is specifically characterized
by assuming that the random quantity of interest is ruled by a stochastic differential equation with constant coefficients.
By discretization, developed according to a possibly new approach, it is shown that the former model reduces to an equation
error model, which is among the simplest used in adaptive control, and thus particularly easy to deal with in regard to parameter
estimation and the definition of the optimum control rule. 相似文献
10.
中国交通运输业发展的实证研究 总被引:1,自引:0,他引:1
采用协整和误差纠正模型与方法,对中国改革开放20多年来交通运输发展与一些相关影响因素之间的关系进行实证研究。结果表明:旅客运输需求与国民收入、乘车费用之间,货物运输与国民经济、燃油价格之间分别存在长期稳定关系。研究认为:中国交通的发展应适当超前于国民经济的发展。同时,研究还发现:“旅游黄金周”的实施并不是促进中国旅客运输需求的显著影响因素。 相似文献