发展市场中介组织促进中小企业人力资源开发

针对市场中介组织的发展现状及存在的问题 ,着重从组织形式和服务内容两个方面 ,研究了发展为中小企业提供人力资源开发服务市场中介组织的目标模式 ,并提出了发展该类中介组织的对策措施     

指数级数的增长性和值分布

本文研究了随机狄里克莱级数 在随机变量序列{Xn}独立（可不同分布）以及满足等条件时的增长性以及值分布,得到了一些新的结果.     

A Bayesian Adjustment for Covariate Misclassification with Correlated Binary Outcome Data

Estimated associations between an outcome variable and misclassified covariates tend to be biased when the methods of estimation that ignore the classification error are applied. Available methods to account for misclassification often require the use of a validation sample (i.e. a gold standard). In practice, however, such a gold standard may be unavailable or impractical. We propose a Bayesian approach to adjust for misclassification in a binary covariate in the random effect logistic model when a gold standard is not available. This Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) approach uses two imperfect measures of a dichotomous exposure under the assumptions of conditional independence and non-differential misclassification. A simulated numerical example and a real clinical example are given to illustrate the proposed approach. Our results suggest that the estimated log odds of inpatient care and the corresponding standard deviation are much larger in our proposed method compared with the models ignoring misclassification. Ignoring misclassification produces downwardly biased estimates and underestimate uncertainty.     

基于3C的TBI绩效评价指标体系初探

对TBI绩效评价的研究,应放在对作为TBI母系统的科技中介的绩效评价研究的大框架下来考虑.科技中介绩效评价研究的意义集中体现在对科技中介发展评价指标的研究方面.科技中介绩效评价指标体系的设计依据、设计原则及必含指标,同样适用于TBI的绩效评价.归纳分析我国TBI绩效评价研究的现状可知,存在着研究不深入、绩效指标体系建立不完整等问题.基于"3C"的TBI绩效评价理论体系的提出,能够使现存的问题得以有效的解决.     

浅析21世纪中小企业文化建设

伴随新世纪的来临和中国入世,国内外市场竞争日趋激烈,企业为适应市场竞争,日益重视通过企业文化建设来提升企业竞争力,中小企业也不例外。从企业文化对中小企业发展的现实意义入手,分析文化建设的必要性,并从企业价值观的培育、特色企业文化的塑造和企业文化的发展等三个方面阐述了新世纪中小企业文化建设的基本思路。     

现代传媒与现代散文辨体

现代散文的文类向来比较混杂,人们的认识也不一致,本文从现代传播媒体与散文形成与发展的关系出发,探讨现代散文的文类意识,并从散文文体的角度进行了必要的辨体.现代传媒对散文文体的形成产生了明显的影响,因而古代文章的分类在现代媒体中失去了"辨体"的意义,现代传媒为现代散文辨体提供了理论依据,现代散文文类大体可以分为叙事类、杂感类、小品类、杂体类.     

WEIGHTED SUMS OF NEGATIVELY ASSOCIATED RANDOM VARIABLES

In this paper, we establish strong laws for weighted sums of negatively associated (NA) random variables which have a higher‐order moment condition. Some results of Bai Z.D. & Cheng P.E. (2000) [Marcinkiewicz strong laws for linear statistics. Statist. and Probab. Lett. 43, 105–112,] and Sung S.K. (2001) [Strong laws for weighted sums of i.i.d. random variables, Statist. and Probab. Lett. 52, 413–419] are sharpened and extended from the independent identically distributed case to the NA setting. Also, one of the results of Li D.L. et al. (1995) [Complete convergence and almost sure convergence of weighted sums of random variables. J. Theoret. Probab. 8, 49–76,] is complemented and extended.     

On Block Updating in Markov Random Field Models for Disease Mapping

Gaussian Markov random field (GMRF) models are commonly used to model spatial correlation in disease mapping applications. For Bayesian inference by MCMC, so far mainly single-site updating algorithms have been considered. However, convergence and mixing properties of such algorithms can be extremely poor due to strong dependencies of parameters in the posterior distribution. In this paper, we propose various block sampling algorithms in order to improve the MCMC performance. The methodology is rather general, allows for non-standard full conditionals, and can be applied in a modular fashion in a large number of different scenarios. For illustration we consider three different applications: two formulations for spatial modelling of a single disease (with and without additional unstructured parameters respectively), and one formulation for the joint analysis of two diseases. The results indicate that the largest benefits are obtained if parameters and the corresponding hyperparameter are updated jointly in one large block. Implementation of such block algorithms is relatively easy using methods for fast sampling of Gaussian Markov random fields ( Rue, 2001 ). By comparison, Monte Carlo estimates based on single-site updating can be rather misleading, even for very long runs. Our results may have wider relevance for efficient MCMC simulation in hierarchical models with Markov random field components.     

文艺社会学批评理论的新向度--"传播论"批评

2 0世纪 90年代 ,曾有论者提出文艺社会学批评理论要走出古典形态 ,开拓现代形态 ,建立“中介论”的文艺社会学批评理论。但从文艺学理论构架出发 ,结合当代艺术文化状态进行反思 ,“中介论”的文艺社会学批评理论存在局限性 ,而建构“传播论”向度的文艺社会学批评理论 ,即可在本体论结构上实现批评理论向度的新拓展。