Statistical testing strategies for assessing treatment efficacy and marker accuracy in phase III trials

When a candidate predictive marker is available, but evidence on its predictive ability is not sufficiently reliable, all‐comers trials with marker stratification are frequently conducted. We propose a framework for planning and evaluating prospective testing strategies in confirmatory, phase III marker‐stratified clinical trials based on a natural assumption on heterogeneity of treatment effects across marker‐defined subpopulations, where weak rather than strong control is permitted for multiple population tests. For phase III marker‐stratified trials, it is expected that treatment efficacy is established in a particular patient population, possibly in a marker‐defined subpopulation, and that the marker accuracy is assessed when the marker is used to restrict the indication or labelling of the treatment to a marker‐based subpopulation, ie, assessment of the clinical validity of the marker. In this paper, we develop statistical testing strategies based on criteria that are explicitly designated to the marker assessment, including those examining treatment effects in marker‐negative patients. As existing and developed statistical testing strategies can assert treatment efficacy for either the overall patient population or the marker‐positive subpopulation, we also develop criteria for evaluating the operating characteristics of the statistical testing strategies based on the probabilities of asserting treatment efficacy across marker subpopulations. Numerical evaluations to compare the statistical testing strategies based on the developed criteria are provided.     

在位相空间中求解外力含时的受迫量子谐振子

运用广义线性量子变换理论 ,在位相空间中通过算子的代数运算求解外力含时的受迫谐振子 ,给出了演化算子、演化算子矩阵元和波函数的表示式 .     

我国高校文科学报的“当代化”论

高校文科学报的“当代化”是相对于时下盛行的“现代化”而言的。它是根据我国高校文科学报的发生及其发展历程的阶段性特征 ,以及“当代化”所蕴涵的人类文明进程的阶段性定位和“与时俱进”的时代性体现的科学内涵而提出来的。“当代化”具有现实性和求真性的鲜明特征 ,对于 2 1世纪我国高校文科学报的发展是一种求真务实的选择。     

律师在侦查阶段的诉讼地位和作用

律师在侦查阶段介入刑事诉讼不享有辩护人的独立诉讼地位 ,其法律行为具有法律帮助性质 ,主要为犯罪嫌疑人提供法律咨询 ,代理申诉、控告和为犯罪嫌疑人申请取保候审等。这种界定不仅有利于明确律师在侦查阶段的职责 ,也有利于打消认为律师介入侦查将带来太多负效应的顾虑。     

ispLSI1016在数字锁相环中的应用

讨论了采用ispLSI1 0 1 6构造数字锁相环的基本方法 ,并给出了分频器、相位比较器和吞脉冲计数器的相应的编码指令     

Implied Preference for Seismic Design Level and Earthquake Insurance

Seismic risk can be reduced by implementing newly developed seismic provisions in design codes. Furthermore, financial protection or enhanced utility and happiness for stakeholders could be gained through the purchase of earthquake insurance. If this is not so, there would be no market for such insurance. However, perceived benefit associated with insurance is not universally shared by stakeholders partly due to their diverse risk attitudes. This study investigates the implied seismic design preference with insurance options for decisionmakers of bounded rationality whose preferences could be adequately represented by the cumulative prospect theory (CPT). The investigation is focused on assessing the sensitivity of the implied seismic design preference with insurance options to model parameters of the CPT and to fair and unfair insurance arrangements. Numerical results suggest that human cognitive limitation and risk perception can affect the implied seismic design preference by the CPT significantly. The mandatory purchase of fair insurance will lead the implied seismic design preference to the optimum design level that is dictated by the minimum expected lifecycle cost rule. Unfair insurance decreases the expected gain as well as its associated variability, which is preferred by risk-averse decisionmakers. The obtained results of the implied preference for the combination of the seismic design level and insurance option suggest that property owners, financial institutions, and municipalities can take advantage of affordable insurance to establish successful seismic risk management strategies.     

Modelling heterogeneous space–time occurrences of earthquakes and its residual analysis

Summary. Earthquake intensities are modelled as a function of previous activity whose specific form is based on established empirical laws in seismology, but whose parameter values can vary from place to place. This model is used for characterizing regional features of seismic activities in and around Japan, and also for exploring regions where the actual seismicity rate systematically deviates from that of the modelled rate.     

非拓扑孤子模型的相变特征与袋常数的温度依赖性

本文计算了在有限温度和密度下非拓扑孤子模型的有效势;得到了袋常数对温度和化学势的依赖关系;分析了禁闭解除相变的特征.结果表明:该模型的禁闭解除相变为一级;相变特征的分析表明有退禁闭相与禁闭相的两相共存.     

A Two-dimensional Heat Transfer Model for Atmosphere-land System in the Lake-dominated Alaskan Arctic

1 Introduction Shallow tundra lakes are one of the dominating landscape features in the Alaskan Arctic. They typically cover 20% of the total area of the North Slope of Alaska, and up to about 40% in the coastal plain [1,2]. Many lakes are, in their entirety or in part, shallower than the maximum annual ice thickness, consequently, some ice freezes completely to the lake bottom, nevertheless, large areas of water are deeper than the maximum ice thickness and the ice remains afloat througho…     

位相物体像全息图的拍摄

讨论了位相物体激光像面全息摄影的特点，从全息与橱窗装饰艺术结合的设想出发，设计了位相物体像全息图的拍摄实验，取得好的实验教学效果．