风力发电技术经济分析及对策

介绍了中、美等6个国家的电力构成以及世界风能资源的分布,并对世界风能资源经济效益进行了分析,阐述了风力发电的前景,指出了我国风电产业存在的问题,并提出发展我国风电产业的建议:研发大型风电机组,强化环保法规及给予风电产业以优惠政策.     

左思风力之成因初探

西晋诗人左思的诗风在西晋文坛上独树一帜，称之为“左思风力”，前人对此有较多地论述，然而就诗风形成的原因却缺乏深入地探究。本文试图从社会时代背景、家庭因素、性格特征三个方面对此加以分析，旨在能够更好地把握左思其人及其诗风。     

野生花卉在我国北方园林中的应用研究

在现有的城市绿地系统中,千篇一律的园林植物栽培使园林景观单调,且生态效应差。加强野生花卉在园林中的应用可提高城市园林的自然度。我国有着丰富的野生植物资源,其生态习性、观赏特性各异,在园林中的应用方式也多种多样。应积极开展野生花卉的引种驯化等工作,推广野生花卉在园林造景中的应用。     

Uncertainty Analysis for Computer Model Projections of Hurricane Losses

Projecting losses associated with hurricanes is a complex and difficult undertaking that is wrought with uncertainties. Hurricane Charley, which struck southwest Florida on August 13, 2004, illustrates the uncertainty of forecasting damages from these storms. Due to shifts in the track and the rapid intensification of the storm, real-time estimates grew from 2 to 3 billion dollars in losses late on August 12 to a peak of 50 billion dollars for a brief time as the storm appeared to be headed for the Tampa Bay area. The storm hit the resort areas of Charlotte Harbor near Punta Gorda and then went on to Orlando in the central part of the state, with early poststorm estimates converging on a damage estimate in the 28 to 31 billion dollars range. Comparable damage to central Florida had not been seen since Hurricane Donna in 1960. The Florida Commission on Hurricane Loss Projection Methodology (FCHLPM) has recognized the role of computer models in projecting losses from hurricanes. The FCHLPM established a professional team to perform onsite (confidential) audits of computer models developed by several different companies in the United States that seek to have their models approved for use in insurance rate filings in Florida. The team's members represent the fields of actuarial science, computer science, meteorology, statistics, and wind and structural engineering. An important part of the auditing process requires uncertainty and sensitivity analyses to be performed with the applicant's proprietary model. To influence future such analyses, an uncertainty and sensitivity analysis has been completed for loss projections arising from use of a Holland B parameter hurricane wind field model. Uncertainty analysis quantifies the expected percentage reduction in the uncertainty of wind speed and loss that is attributable to each of the input variables.     

月下的沉吟--论李白诗歌的月意象

李白一生与月结下了不解之缘,月下的李白,充满了对故乡、故人的深情眷念;对平民、女性的朴素情怀;对人生、宇宙的深沉思索;对诗意人生、精神家园的执著追求.从一个侧面反映了诗人的伦理情感、生命关怀、宇宙意识、价值选择.     

Model-based clustering of multivariate skew data with circular components and missing values

Motivated by classification issues that arise in marine studies, we propose a latent-class mixture model for the unsupervised classification of incomplete quadrivariate data with two linear and two circular components. The model integrates bivariate circular densities and bivariate skew normal densities to capture the association between toroidal clusters of bivariate circular observations and planar clusters of bivariate linear observations. Maximum-likelihood estimation of the model is facilitated by an expectation maximization (EM) algorithm that treats unknown class membership and missing values as different sources of incomplete information. The model is exploited on hourly observations of wind speed and direction and wave height and direction to identify a number of sea regimes, which represent specific distributional shapes that the data take under environmental latent conditions.     

穆旦与奥登：历史追问与现实反思——兼与江弱水先生商榷

江弱水在《外国文学评论》上发表的《伪奥登风与非中国性：重估穆旦》指出穆旦诗歌是对奥登诗歌的移译，而非中国性这一特征造成了穆旦诗歌的失败。而文本从选择奥登的原因、伪奥登风的消解、穆旦诗歌中的“非中国性”追问、传统与现代的反思等四个方面探讨和重新考察穆旦诗歌与奥登的关联，进而认为穆旦诗歌的特质与奥登并非密切相关。     

宋代花卉交易盛行原因

在宋代,花卉交易已成为普通大众生活中的一种重要经济活动,在生活中花卉交易逐渐盛行起来。然而花卉交易在宋代 盛行并非是偶然的,上层阶级对花卉的欣赏,使得贫民百姓跟风效仿;花卉种植业呈现出了一个新的趋势,规模化、大众化、技 术高;且在宋代这样一个文人社会,社会风气使得人们喜爱通过赏花游园这样的娱乐方式来吟诗作词。     

单片机控制器在卷染机中的应用

】将卷染机的控制系统从直流电机拖动、自耦调压器有级调速改造为交流电机拖动和变频器无级调速。通过对调节对象的理论分析,得到了一种新的控制策略,研制出以单片机为核心的控制器,在不使用速度和张力传感器的条件下,控制系统可自动对被染织物进行恒速与恒张力控制,以利于染色质量的稳定和提高。经实际运行表明,该系统运行可靠,节能增效显著。