首页 | 本学科首页   官方微博 | 高级检索  
文章检索
  按 检索   检索词:      
出版年份:   被引次数:   他引次数: 提示:输入*表示无穷大
  收费全文   1369篇
  免费   31篇
  国内免费   1篇
管理学   52篇
人口学   4篇
丛书文集   16篇
理论方法论   23篇
综合类   107篇
社会学   7篇
统计学   1192篇
  2023年   10篇
  2022年   3篇
  2021年   6篇
  2020年   26篇
  2019年   47篇
  2018年   55篇
  2017年   95篇
  2016年   22篇
  2015年   30篇
  2014年   49篇
  2013年   482篇
  2012年   84篇
  2011年   35篇
  2010年   38篇
  2009年   49篇
  2008年   35篇
  2007年   44篇
  2006年   23篇
  2005年   27篇
  2004年   32篇
  2003年   18篇
  2002年   21篇
  2001年   21篇
  2000年   20篇
  1999年   10篇
  1998年   10篇
  1997年   12篇
  1996年   9篇
  1995年   4篇
  1994年   9篇
  1993年   5篇
  1992年   8篇
  1991年   5篇
  1990年   6篇
  1989年   4篇
  1988年   3篇
  1987年   3篇
  1986年   1篇
  1985年   2篇
  1984年   10篇
  1983年   6篇
  1982年   6篇
  1981年   4篇
  1980年   5篇
  1979年   2篇
  1978年   4篇
  1977年   1篇
排序方式: 共有1401条查询结果,搜索用时 156 毫秒
1.
In this paper, the quantile-based flattened logistic distribution has been studied. Some classical and quantile-based properties of the distribution have been obtained. Closed form expressions of L-moments, L-moment ratios and expectation of order statistics of the distribution have been obtained. A quantile-based analysis concerning the method of matching L-moments estimation is employed to estimate the parameters of the proposed model. We further derive the asymptotic variance–covariance matrix of the matching L-Moments estimators of the proposed model. Finally, we apply the proposed model to simulated as well as two real life datasets and compare the fit with the logistic distribution.  相似文献   
2.
要达到对外宣传预期的目的 ,旅游、商贸对外宣传品的翻译必须正确、得体、一致。实例表明 ,常德市旅游、商贸对外宣传品的翻译在这些方面普遍存在问题。因此 ,要提高翻译质量 ,除管理者高度重视外 ,译者要加强英、汉语功底的修养 ,培养敬业精神  相似文献   
3.
Generalized method of moments (GMM) is used to develop tests for discriminating discrete distributions among the two-parameter family of Katz distributions. Relationships involving moments are exploited to obtain identifying and over-identifying restrictions. The asymptotic relative efficiencies of tests based on GMM are analyzed using the local power approach and the approximate Bahadur efficiency. The paper also gives results of Monte Carlo experiments designed to check the validity of the theoretical findings and to shed light on the small sample properties of the proposed tests. Extensions of the results to compound Poisson alternative hypotheses are discussed.  相似文献   
4.
刘涛 《延边大学学报》2008,41(4):130-133
语言中的基本范畴词是人们认识世莽的基础,在此基础上人们通过转喻、隐喻来认知更抽象的概念和事物。俄汉语中的“рука——手”同属基本范畴词,具有很强的转喻:隐喻能力。通过手部动作认知、情绪认知、场景认知、权势认知、身体结构认知等方面研究俄汉语认知域中转喻与隐喻的交互作用在词汇层面的连续体关系,将有助于从实证的角度对比分析俄汉语转喻和隐喻思维模式的异同,探求造成两个民族认知差异的文化因素。  相似文献   
5.
Approximation formulae are developed for the bias of ordinary and generalized Least Squares Dummy Variable (LSDV) estimators in dynamic panel data models. Results from Kiviet [Kiviet, J. F. (1995), on bias, inconsistency, and efficiency of various estimators in dynamic panel data models, J. Econometrics68:53-78; Kiviet, J. F. (1999), Expectations of expansions for estimators in a dynamic panel data model: some results for weakly exogenous regressors, In: Hsiao, C., Lahiri, K., Lee, L-F., Pesaran, M. H., eds., Analysis of Panels and Limited Dependent Variables, Cambridge: Cambridge University Press, pp. 199-225] are extended to higher-order dynamic panel data models with general covariance structure. The focus is on estimation of both short- and long-run coefficients. The results show that proper modelling of the disturbance covariance structure is indispensable. The bias approximations are used to construct bias corrected estimators which are then applied to quarterly data from 14 European Union countries. Money demand functions for M1, M2 and M3 are estimated for the EU area as a whole for the period 1991: I-1995: IV. Significant spillovers between countries are found reflecting the dependence of domestic money demand on foreign developments. The empirical results show that in general plausible long-run effects are obtained by the bias corrected estimators. Moreover, finite sample bias, although of moderate magnitude, is present underlining the importance of more refined estimation techniques. Also the efficiency gains by exploiting the heteroscedasticity and cross-correlation patterns between countries are sometimes considerable.  相似文献   
6.
We propose a new modified (biased) cross-validation method for adaptively determining the bandwidth in a nonparametric density estimation setup. It is shown that the method provides consistent minimizers. Some simulation results are reported on which compare the small sample behavior of the new and the classical cross-validation selectors.  相似文献   
7.
D·H·劳伦斯小说创作主题的相似性和连续性引人关注 ,其处女作《白孔雀》和最后一部长篇小说《查泰莱夫人的情人》十分典型地体现了这一特点 ,两者都有一个个性分裂的女主人公 ,一个反社会的守林人 ,一片代表现代社会最后的伊甸园的树林。本文拟就这三个方面具体阐述这两部作品的相似性和连续性  相似文献   
8.
The purpose of this paper is threefold. First, we obtain the asymptotic properties of the modified model selection criteria proposed by Hurvich et al. (1990. Improved estimators of Kullback-Leibler information for autoregressive model selection in small samples. Biometrika 77, 709–719) for autoregressive models. Second, we provide some highlights on the better performance of this modified criteria. Third, we extend the modification introduced by these authors to model selection criteria commonly used in the class of self-exciting threshold autoregressive (SETAR) time series models. We show the improvements of the modified criteria in their finite sample performance. In particular, for small and medium sample size the frequency of selecting the true model improves for the consistent criteria and the root mean square error (RMSE) of prediction improves for the efficient criteria. These results are illustrated via simulation with SETAR models in which we assume that the threshold and the parameters are unknown.  相似文献   
9.
The authors extend the block external bootstrap to partially linear regression models with strongly mixing, nonstationary error terms. In addition to providing an approximate distribution for the semiparametric least square estimator of the parametric component, they propose a consistent estimator of the co‐variance matrix of this estimator.  相似文献   
10.
The paper considers simultaneous estimation of finite population means for several strata. A model-based approach is taken, where the covariates in the super-population model are subject to measurement errors. Empirical Bayes (EB) estimators of the strata means are developed and an asymptotic expression for the MSE of the EB estimators is provided. It is shown that the proposed EB estimators are “first order optimal” in the sense of Robbins [1956. An empirical Bayes approach to statistics. In: Proceedings of the Third Berkeley Symposium on Mathematical Statistics and Probability, vol. 1, University of California Press, Berkeley, pp. 157–164], while the regular EB estimators which ignore the measurement error are not.  相似文献   
设为首页 | 免责声明 | 关于勤云 | 加入收藏

Copyright©北京勤云科技发展有限公司  京ICP备09084417号