全文获取类型
收费全文 | 1809篇 |
免费 | 66篇 |
国内免费 | 13篇 |
专业分类
管理学 | 194篇 |
民族学 | 6篇 |
人才学 | 1篇 |
人口学 | 22篇 |
丛书文集 | 67篇 |
理论方法论 | 63篇 |
综合类 | 606篇 |
社会学 | 195篇 |
统计学 | 734篇 |
出版年
2024年 | 10篇 |
2023年 | 15篇 |
2022年 | 22篇 |
2021年 | 26篇 |
2020年 | 36篇 |
2019年 | 37篇 |
2018年 | 49篇 |
2017年 | 85篇 |
2016年 | 54篇 |
2015年 | 50篇 |
2014年 | 75篇 |
2013年 | 358篇 |
2012年 | 101篇 |
2011年 | 79篇 |
2010年 | 74篇 |
2009年 | 77篇 |
2008年 | 97篇 |
2007年 | 76篇 |
2006年 | 77篇 |
2005年 | 68篇 |
2004年 | 59篇 |
2003年 | 67篇 |
2002年 | 44篇 |
2001年 | 42篇 |
2000年 | 38篇 |
1999年 | 33篇 |
1998年 | 19篇 |
1997年 | 22篇 |
1996年 | 20篇 |
1995年 | 8篇 |
1994年 | 8篇 |
1993年 | 6篇 |
1992年 | 9篇 |
1991年 | 10篇 |
1990年 | 5篇 |
1989年 | 5篇 |
1988年 | 4篇 |
1987年 | 2篇 |
1986年 | 5篇 |
1985年 | 4篇 |
1984年 | 5篇 |
1983年 | 2篇 |
1982年 | 1篇 |
1981年 | 3篇 |
1978年 | 1篇 |
排序方式: 共有1888条查询结果,搜索用时 93 毫秒
1.
Towards Uniformly Efficient Trend Estimation Under Weak/Strong Correlation and Non‐stationary Volatility 下载免费PDF全文
In this paper, we consider the deterministic trend model where the error process is allowed to be weakly or strongly correlated and subject to non‐stationary volatility. Extant estimators of the trend coefficient are analysed. We find that under heteroskedasticity, the Cochrane–Orcutt‐type estimator (with some initial condition) could be less efficient than Ordinary Least Squares (OLS) when the process is highly persistent, whereas it is asymptotically equivalent to OLS when the process is less persistent. An efficient non‐parametrically weighted Cochrane–Orcutt‐type estimator is then proposed. The efficiency is uniform over weak or strong serial correlation and non‐stationary volatility of unknown form. The feasible estimator relies on non‐parametric estimation of the volatility function, and the asymptotic theory is provided. We use the data‐dependent smoothing bandwidth that can automatically adjust for the strength of non‐stationarity in volatilities. The implementation does not require pretesting persistence of the process or specification of non‐stationary volatility. Finite‐sample evaluation via simulations and an empirical application demonstrates the good performance of proposed estimators. 相似文献
2.
Citizen Review Panels (CRPs) are groups of citizen volunteers authorized by U.S. federal law to examine state child welfare agencies. These groups inspect policies and practices related to child protection responsibilities and are tasked with making recommendations for systemic improvement. Despite the federal mandate for each state to develop a CRP and the potential of these groups to positively impact child welfare practices, there is a dearth in the literature related to CRPs. Consequently, planning and evaluation processes of these groups vary widely. This study reports on the use of concept mapping (CM) to outline a framework for planning and subsequently evaluating the CRP in one southeastern state. CM is a mixed-method research approach that uses multi-dimensional scaling and hierarchical cluster analyses to explore an area of study. Through these analyses, the method creates visual depictions of conceptual relationships between ideas. Data yielded a seven cluster concept map that CRP members (N = 36) utilized for planning processes, and subsequently for developing an internal evaluation tool. Results from this study offer a unifying framework by which CRPs, and similar groups in other areas can utilize for planning and evaluation purposes. After a review of pertinent literature on CRPs, this article explicates CM processes utilized in this study, describes results, discusses lessons learned, and outlines apposite areas for future CRP research. 相似文献
3.
4.
《European Management Journal》2020,38(5):736-749
Influence plays a key role in reaching consensus among multiple actors involved in project-based decision-making processes. While prior literature devotes considerable attention to describing influence, little attention has been paid to influence at the individual level of the strategic project manager within the context of megaprojects. This research intended to fill this knowledge gap by identifying and describing the influence strategies that a strategic project manager applies when implementing innovation strategies on megaprojects. A qualitative case study was used to examine the complex social processes involved in a major UK capital investment programme. The findings underline a critical subset of influence strategies, notably higher-management support, inspirational appeal and bargaining. The study proposes a utilitarian structure of social power comprising selective, supportive and executory power bases. 相似文献
5.
Jon M. Patterson 《Journal of marriage and the family》2002,64(2):349-360
The construct, family resilience, has been defined and applied very differently by those who are primarily clinical practitioners and those who are primarily researchers in the family field. In thisarticle, the family resilience perspective is integrated with conceptual definitions from family stress theory using the Family Adjustment and Adaptation Response (FAAR) Model in an effort to clarify distinctions between family resiliency as capacity and family resilience as a process. The family resilience process is discussed in terms of (a) the meaning of significant risk exposure (vs. the normal challenges of family life) and (b) the importance of making conceptual and operational distinctions between family system outcomes and family protective processes. Recommendations for future family resilience research are discussed. 相似文献
6.
Diane Hope Weixing Zhu Corinna Gries Jacob Oleson Jason Kaye Nancy B. Grimm Lawrence A. Baker 《Urban Ecosystems》2005,8(3-4):251-273
We explored variations in inorganic soil nitrogen (N) concentrations across metropolitan Phoenix, Arizona, and the surrounding
desert using a probability-based synoptic survey. Data were examined using spatial statistics on the entire region, as well
as for the desert and urban sites separately. Concentrations of both NO3-N and NH4-N were markedly higher and more heterogeneous amongst urban compared to desert soils. Regional variation in soil NO3-N concentration was best explained by latitude, land use history, population density, along with percent cover of impervious
surfaces and lawn, whereas soil NH4-N concentrations were related to only latitude and population density. Within the urban area, patterns in both soil NO3-N and NH4-N were best predicted by elevation, population density and type of irrigation in the surrounding neighborhood. Spatial autocorrelation
of soil NO3-N concentrations explained 49% of variation among desert sites but was absent between urban sites. We suggest that inorganic
soil N concentrations are controlled by a number of ‘local’ or ‘neighborhood’ human-related drivers in the city, rather than
factors related to an urban-rural gradient. 相似文献
7.
我国高校将“两课”作为实施思想政治教育的主战场目前存在的最大问题是教育教学的某些方面出现离散趋向。本文通过对高校“两课”中出现的离散趋向的分析,认为在思想政治教育教学实践中要实施整合教育,并提出整合教育的具体构想。 相似文献
8.
文章通过解读组诗文本,抓住家园情结这一内核,较为翔实地剖析了诗人对农耕民族的精神历程与诗意关怀,并归纳了三个艺术特点即忧患精神的张扬、时空转换的把握和整体象征的艺术自觉. 相似文献
9.
Yosihiko Ogata Koichi Katsura Masaharu Tanemura 《Journal of the Royal Statistical Society. Series C, Applied statistics》2003,52(4):499-509
Summary. Earthquake intensities are modelled as a function of previous activity whose specific form is based on established empirical laws in seismology, but whose parameter values can vary from place to place. This model is used for characterizing regional features of seismic activities in and around Japan, and also for exploring regions where the actual seismicity rate systematically deviates from that of the modelled rate. 相似文献
10.
在阐述整合营销传播理论定义及要点的基础上,以招商银行的营销策略为主要例子,引用本土银行现有营销策略,论证了整合营销理论是我国银行新一轮竞争中的重要策略。 相似文献