How do countries choose their monetary policy frameworks?

This paper investigates the determinants of countries’ choices of monetary policy framework. A brief narrative focused on groupings of countries motivates an econometric analysis which draws on previous work on the determinants of exchange rate regimes, bringing in standard factors as well as the trade networks of potential anchor currency blocs and the financial market depth that are emphasised in the narrative. The model turns out to be able to predict three quarters of countries’ choices, and there is no obvious systematic pattern in the errors. The results have important implications for how countries should choose their monetary policy frameworks.     

Multivariate outlier detection in incomplete survey data: the epidemic algorithm and transformed rank correlations

Summary.  As a part of the EUREDIT project new methods to detect multivariate outliers in incomplete survey data have been developed. These methods are the first to work with sampling weights and to be able to cope with missing values. Two of these methods are presented here. The epidemic algorithm simulates the propagation of a disease through a population and uses extreme infection times to find outlying observations. Transformed rank correlations are robust estimates of the centre and the scatter of the data. They use a geometric transformation that is based on the rank correlation matrix. The estimates are used to define a Mahalanobis distance that reveals outliers. The two methods are applied to a small data set and to one of the evaluation data sets of the EUREDIT project.     

Inference for quantile measures of kurtosis,peakedness, and tail weight

Insight into measures of peakedness, heavy-tailedness, and kurtosis can be gained by studying Ruppert’s ratios of interquantile ranges. They are not only monotone in Horn’s measure of peakedness when applied to the central portion of the population, but also monotone in the practical tail-index of Morgenthaler and Tukey, when applied to the tails. Non-parametric confidence intervals are found for Ruppert’s ratios, and sample sizes required to obtain such intervals for a pre-specified relative width and level are provided. In addition, the empirical power of distribution-free tests for peakedness and bimodality are found for some symmetric distributions.     

Resampling-based Classification Using Depth for Functional Curves

The depths, which have been used to detect outliers or to extract a representative subset, can be applied to classification. We propose a resampling-based classification method based on the fact that resampling techniques yield a consistent estimator of the distribution of a statistic. The performance of this method was evaluated with eight contaminated models in terms of Correct Classification Rates (CCRs), and the results were compared with other known methods. The proposed method consistently showed higher average CCRs and 4% higher CCR at the maximum compared to other methods. In addition, this method was applied to Berkeley data. The average CCRs were between 0.79 and 0.85.     

On smoothness of Tukey depth contours

The smoothness of Tukey depth contours is a regularity condition often encountered in asymptotic theory, among others. This condition ensures that the Tukey depth fully characterizes the underlying multivariate probability distribution. In this paper we demonstrate that this regularity condition is rarely satisfied. It is shown that even well-behaved probability distributions with symmetrical, smooth and (strictly) quasi-concave densities may have non-smooth Tukey depth contours, and that the smoothness behaviour of depth contours is fairly unpredictable.     

叛逆女性的性格悲剧--《雷雨》中繁漪形象的深度阐解

《雷雨》中的繁漪是具有鲜明特色和复杂蕴涵的叛逆女性形象，其鲜明特色在于独特性的雷雨性格，其复杂蕴涵在于人性建构中的理性因素与非理性因素和个体生命力中的创造性力量与破坏性力量的相兼相制，因而深切地显现出人性的深度。     

基于多指标正交试验设计的SLS快速成型工艺参数优化

为提高SLS成型系统堆积方向微细结构的制作质量,以过度烧结深度、烧结密度和Z向尺寸偏差为优化指标,采用多指标的正交试验设计方法,通过极差分析法,讨论激光功率、预热温度、激光扫描速度、分层厚度等成型工艺参数对试件质量的影响,利用综合平衡法确定了最优工艺参数组合。试验结果表明：激光功率选取16 W,预热温度选取98℃,激光扫描速度选取3 m/s,分层厚度选取0.15 mm时,试件的制作质量为最优。试验结果有助于SLS快速成型系统提高堆积方向微细结构的制作质量。     

国内外二语词汇深度研究综述

近十几年来国内外研究者开始将词汇研究的重点从宽度或词汇量的研究转向对词汇深度或词质量的研究。和产出性词汇相比 ,接受性词汇习得具有明显的“超出”现象 ;词汇知识习得过程存在一定的发展模式 ,如学习初期词义发展较快 ,中高级阶段派生、搭配等发展较快 ;词汇深度和广度与语言综合能力尤其是阅读能力关系密切     

我国进口消费深度发展原因及效应分析

我国消费主要以国内提供的消费品为主,进口消费作为必要补充。随着我国经济形势的发展,国家宏观调控重点将转为扩大内需,相应推动进口消费深度发展。本文通过透视我国进口消费发展状况,着重揭示隐藏在我国进口消费深度发展背后的影响因素;分析我国进口消费深度发展对我国经济与社会产生的正反效应及其相应的政策建议。     

超越苦难的白日梦──张贤亮小说创作的深层心理探析

由于外在的政治苦难的压抑,张贤亮内在的心理人格发生分裂,由此导致了他的小说观念的矛盾性,创作动机的二重性,小说文本的双重性和梦幻特征。