Simple detection of outlying short time series

Sets of relatively short time series arise in many situations. One aspect of their analysis may be the detection of outlying series. We examine the performance of standard normal outlier tests applied to the means, or to simple functions of the means, of AR(1) series, not necessarily of equal lengths. Although unequal lengths of series implies that the means have unequal variances, that are only known approximately, it is shown that nominal significance levels hold good under most circumstances. Thus a standard outlier test can usefully be applied, avoiding the complication of estimating the time series' parameters. The test's power is affected by unequal lengths, being higher when the slippage occurs in one of the longer series     

实数域及四元数除环上有平方根的方阵

给出了实数域及实四元数除环上方阵有平方根的充分必要条件．     

Divergence-based estimation and testing with misclassified data

The well-known chi-squared goodness-of-fit test for a multinomial distribution is generally biased when the observations are subject to misclassification. In Pardo and Zografos (2000) the problem was considered using a double sampling scheme and ø-divergence test statistics. A new problem appears if the null hypothesis is not simple because it is necessary to give estimators for the unknown parameters. In this paper the minimum ø-divergence estimators are considered and some of their properties are established. The proposed ø-divergence test statistics are obtained by calculating ø-divergences between probability density functions and by replacing parameters by their minimum ø-divergence estimators in the derived expressions. Asymptotic distributions of the new test statistics are also obtained. The testing procedure is illustrated with an example.     

The Robustness of Trend Stationarity: An Illustration with the Extended Nelson-Plosser Dataset

We re-evaluate Andreu and Spanos's findings in favour of trend stationarity by considering the extended Nelson-Plosser data set. This expanded (to 1988) data set includes a period of rather different behaviour compared with the original Nelson-Plosser data used by Andreou and Spanos. We find that Andreou and Spanos's models (with only minor adjustments) exhibit remarable stability over this extended period, and indicate that their conclusions are more robust than they have shown.     

强苯赛对水稻幼苗根系生长的影响

强苯赛浸种对水稻幼苗的根长、根重和根系体积都有促进作用,能提高根尖细胞分裂指数,能使胚根尖切段伸长和发根力增强,并能提高胚乳中淀粉酶活性和根系的呼吸强度。     

拐点和一元三次方程的求根公式

用一元函数微分学理论，对一元三次实系数方程x^3 bx^2 cx d=0的求根问题作了新的探讨。     

加强思想道德教育着力从源头上防治腐败

改革开放以来,我国社会生活中出现了腐败现象蔓延的趋势,尤其是党政干部中存在比较严重的贪污受贿、以权谋私。腐败现象的存在有复杂的原因,理想信念的破灭、思想道德素质的滑坡是滋生腐败的根本原因之一。预防和治理腐败要靠法律和制度,也要靠思想道德教育,这是预防和治理腐败的根本措施。     

论加强单位内部会计控制建设

本文针对目前一些单位内部会计控制的现状,从认识内部会计控制的意义入手,通过制定切实可行的内部会计控制制度并组织实施等几个方面阐述如何加强单位内部会计控制建设。     

大学英语学期测试种种

大学英语测试是大学英语教学中必不可少的一部分 ,合理的测试方法有助于推动教学质量的提高。通过对现行学期测试题型与内容优缺点的阐释 ,提出了改进学期测试的想法 ,并对学期测试中听力、阅读、词汇与结构、作文及口语的题型与内容以及评卷工作的改进进行了具体的探讨。     

学校早期读写训练对儿童读写成绩的影响

利用儿童家庭一学校早期语言与识字能力系列测验对每个目标儿童语言与识字能力发展进行了评定，并解释了这些测量结果与儿童学校早期语言与识字测量指标之间的关系。结果表明：(1)儿童丰富的同伴关系与词汇量、应变识字能力、下定义能力和理解力有关；(2)教师语言的丰富性有助于儿童语言与识字能力发展；(3)识字课程变量与三岁儿童的应变识字成绩和四岁儿童词汇量和故事理解有关；(4)影响儿童语言与识字能力的因素不是单一的，而是一个因素群。