Calculation Methods for Wallenius' Noncentral Hypergeometric Distribution

Two different probability distributions are both known in the literature as “the” noncentral hypergeometric distribution. Wallenius' noncentral hypergeometric distribution can be described by an urn model without replacement with bias. Fisher's noncentral hypergeometric distribution is the conditional distribution of independent binomial variates given their sum. No reliable calculation method for Wallenius' noncentral hypergeometric distribution has hitherto been described in the literature. Several new methods for calculating probabilities from Wallenius' noncentral hypergeometric distribution are derived. Range of applicability, numerical problems, and efficiency are discussed for each method. Approximations to the mean and variance are also discussed. This distribution has important applications in models of biased sampling and in models of evolutionary systems.     

A general non-central hypergeometric distribution

We construct a general non-central hypergeometric distribution, which models biased sampling without replacement. Our distribution is constructed from the combined order statistics of two samples: one of independent and identically distributed random variables with absolutely continuous distribution F and the other of independent and identically distributed random variables with absolutely continuous distribution G. The distribution depends on F and G only through F○G^{( ? 1)} (F composed with the quantile function of G), and the standard hypergeometric distribution and Wallenius’ non-central hypergeometric distribution arise as special cases. We show in efficient economic markets the quantity traded has a general non-central hypergeometric distribution.