Estimation of the marginal expected shortfall under asymptotic independence

We study the asymptotic behavior of the marginal expected shortfall when the two random variables are asymptotic independent but positively associated, which is modeled by the so-called tail dependent coefficient. We construct an estimator of the marginal expected shortfall, which is shown to be asymptotically normal. The finite sample performance of the estimator is investigated in a small simulation study. The method is also applied to estimate the expected amount of rainfall at a weather station given that there is a once every 100 years rainfall at another weather station nearby.     

Beyond tail median and conditional tail expectation: Extreme risk estimation using tail Lp-optimization

The conditional tail expectation (CTE) is an indicator of tail behavior that takes into account both the frequency and magnitude of a tail event. However, the asymptotic normality of its empirical estimator requires that the underlying distribution possess a finite variance; this can be a strong restriction in actuarial and financial applications. A valuable alternative is the median shortfall (MS), although it only gives information about the frequency of a tail event. We construct a class of tail L^p-medians encompassing the MS and CTE. For p in (1,2), a tail L^p-median depends on both the frequency and magnitude of tail events, and its empirical estimator is, within the range of the data, asymptotically normal under a condition weaker than a finite variance. We extrapolate this estimator and another technique to extreme levels using the heavy-tailed framework. The estimators are showcased on a simulation study and on real fire insurance data.     

20世纪艺术理论中的再现说

“再现说”是 20世纪中国艺术理论史中占主导地位的艺术理论,它影响了 20世纪中国艺术实践和艺术理论的整体格局,也影响了人们对艺术起源、艺术本质的看法。20世纪中国社会的动荡,使“再现说”为承载社会责任而偏离了艺术对它的要求。因此,要结合各种观点的语境分析其合理性,并结合“表现说”来分析其得失。     

A Semi-parametric Regression Model with Errors in Variables

Abstract.  In this paper, we consider a partial linear regression model with measurement errors in possibly all the variables. We use a method of moments and deconvolution to construct a new class of parametric estimators together with a non-parametric kernel estimator. Strong convergence, optimal rate of weak convergence and asymptotic normality of the estimators are investigated.     

二阶非线性微分方程解的振动性和渐近性

讨论了二阶非线性常微分方程(α(t)(?)(x)x′)′+q(t)f(x)=r(t)的解的振动性和渐近性.获得了有关该方程的五个新的定理.     

论翻译再现的层次

翻译是一种双语行为。既要侧重于研究原语、解读原文文本,又要侧重于研究译语,在原文与译文文本表现法之间找到一个平衡点。表现法的目的是探讨如何将“获得的意义”落实到得体的目的语文本中。本文着重研究翻译表现法的基本原则,根据译者对意义把握和意义表达程度的深浅,翻译再现的层次可分为表层翻译、中介层翻译和深层翻译。     

墙的变异--试论当代西方建筑流派之变化

任何事物都在发展变化，建筑流派也同样变化着，本文通过对建筑外墙的表象变化的论述，引出建筑流派的变化，阐明这一变化的根源在于建筑哲学的变异，墙的变异可谓当代西方建筑流派变异的“缩影”。     

Television and Violence in the Economy of Memory

The present paper aims to consider the cultural function of television as a technology for the creation of a public memory. The television system records past images, preserves them, and broadcasts various historical programs. A viewer owns the public memory jointly, through watching/consuming programs. However, the process of production and consumption of programs is linked with the exclusion of other historical memories from the public space. After all, the creation of public memories in depth is related to social power. Through the analysis in concrete terms of a series of programs of Project X and the second episode of the Nippon Hoso Kyokai (NHK; Japan Broadcasting Corporation) series, Special Edition: Judging War, the relationship between the organization of public memories and social power is explored. Project X depicts the challenges of engineers of middle standing who initiated new industrial and technological developments in the 1960s and 1970s. Special Edition: Judging War is based on coverage of the Women's International War Crimes Tribunal on Japan's Military Sexual Slavery. This program was subjected to revision on the eve of its broadcast. What forms of expression were eliminated? These two programs should help us define more clearly what the Japanese media selects for incorporation into the public memory.     

网络零售配送系统最优运作成本的分析

针对配送运作成本关键部分棗平均运距作出的估计,在车辆路径问题渐进最优理论的基础上,建立了一个平均运作成本最优的规划模型,从经济的角度对运作策略作了简要分析。与其他规划模型不同,新建模型考虑了平均水平的概率特性及众多实际因素,因而具有较好的实用性。     

Gini’s nuclear family

The purpose of this paper is to justify the use of the Gini coefficient and two close relatives for summarizing the basic information of inequality in distributions of income. To this end we employ a specific transformation of the Lorenz curve, the scaled conditional mean curve, rather than the Lorenz curve as the basic formal representation of inequality in distributions of income. The scaled conditional mean curve is shown to possess several attractive properties as an alternative interpretation of the information content of the Lorenz curve and furthermore proves to yield essential information on polarization in the population. The paper also provides asymptotic distribution results for the empirical scaled conditional mean curve and the related family of empirical measures of inequality.