Cross‐Sectional Psychological and Demographic Associations of Zika Knowledge and Conspiracy Beliefs Before and After Local Zika Transmission

Perceptions of infectious diseases are important predictors of whether people engage in disease‐specific preventive behaviors. Having accurate beliefs about a given infectious disease has been found to be a necessary condition for engaging in appropriate preventive behaviors during an infectious disease outbreak, while endorsing conspiracy beliefs can inhibit preventive behaviors. Despite their seemingly opposing natures, knowledge and conspiracy beliefs may share some of the same psychological motivations, including a relationship with perceived risk and self‐efficacy (i.e., control). The 2015–2016 Zika epidemic provided an opportunity to explore this. The current research provides some exploratory tests of this topic derived from two studies with similar measures, but different primary outcomes: one study that included knowledge of Zika as a key outcome and one that included conspiracy beliefs about Zika as a key outcome. Both studies involved cross‐sectional data collections that occurred during the same two periods of the Zika outbreak: one data collection prior to the first cases of local Zika transmission in the United States (March–May 2016) and one just after the first cases of local transmission (July–August). Using ordinal logistic and linear regression analyses of data from two time points in both studies, the authors show an increase in relationship strength between greater perceived risk and self‐efficacy with both increased knowledge and increased conspiracy beliefs after local Zika transmission in the United States. Although these results highlight that similar psychological motivations may lead to Zika knowledge and conspiracy beliefs, there was a divergence in demographic association.     

从民间信仰看粤闽赣山区开发和客家族群发展

客家民间信仰不仅是客家人精神信仰层面的体现,而且还在一定程度上反映了客家地区的开发历史以及后来的发展,是客家地区开发和经济发展在意识形态上的展现.本文以田野调查和文献材料为基础,试对民间信仰与客家地区开发,以及客家族群发展这三者之间的关系进行探讨.     

COMPARISONS AND SELECTION OF TWO-PARAMETER EXPONENTIAL POPULATIONS

For two-parameter exponential populations with the same scale parameter (known or unknown) comparisons are made between the location parameters. This is done by constructing confidence intervals, which can then be used for selection procedures. Comparisons are made with a control, and with the (unknown) “best” or “worst” population. Emphasis is laid on finding approximations to the confidence so that calculations are simple and tables are not necessary. (Since we consider unequal sample sizes, tables for exact values would need to be extensive.)     

Benchmark Analysis: Shopping with Proper Confidence

We discuss the issue of using benchmark doses for quantifying (excess) risk associated with exposure to environmental hazards. The paradigm of low-dose risk estimation in dose-response modeling is used as the primary application scenario. Emphasis is placed on making simultaneous inferences on benchmark doses when data are in the form of proportions, although the concepts translate easily to other forms of outcome data.     

近代华北城乡民间信仰述评--以冀东诸县为例

在近代中西文化交融的大背景下 ,冀东城乡的民间信仰出现了在传统与现代性间不可逆转的变化 ,呈现出神人合一、实用心态、多神崇拜、信仰式微等若干基本特征。冀东城乡在各个方面与华北诸省具有地理、文化等诸方面的密切关联 ,因此冀东城乡民间信仰上所表现出的变化与特征 ,在某种意义上也可视为近代华北城乡民间信仰变动的一个缩影     

加强思想道德教育着力从源头上防治腐败

改革开放以来,我国社会生活中出现了腐败现象蔓延的趋势,尤其是党政干部中存在比较严重的贪污受贿、以权谋私。腐败现象的存在有复杂的原因,理想信念的破灭、思想道德素质的滑坡是滋生腐败的根本原因之一。预防和治理腐败要靠法律和制度,也要靠思想道德教育,这是预防和治理腐败的根本措施。     

略论现代远程教育中素质教育的实现途径

现代远程教育具有独特的教与学模式、教学管理模式和运行机制。现代远程教育领域实施素质教育,在教育理念及实现途径上,都必须考虑到技术层面的因素、学习者的特征、教与学模式的特点。为此,必须重点把握如下环节:确定素质教育的重点内容,创设基于计算机网络的学习环境,确立专业教育和课程教学在素质教育中的主渠道作用,创新教与学模式,探索有效的实践教学方式,营造富有特色的校园文化,建立科学的评价体系。     

Premarital Cohabitation and Housework: Couples in Cross‐National Perspective

The authors examine the effect of premarital cohabitation on the division of household labor in 22 countries. First, women do more routine housework than men in all countries. Second, married couples that cohabited before marriage have a more equal division of housework. Third, national cohabitation rates have equalizing effects on couples regardless of their own cohabitation experience. However, the influence of cohabitation rates is only observed in countries with higher levels of overall gender equality. The authors conclude that the trend toward increasing cohabitation may be part of a broader social trend toward a more egalitarian division of housework.     

郑玄《尚书》训诂的谶纬化

郑玄是汉学的总结性人物,其《尚书》训诂,是东汉《尚书》学之代表。郑玄《尚书》训诂,融古文、今文、谶纬于一体,是两汉《尚书》学谶纬化范围扩大的最好例证。通过郑玄,我们可以知道,古今文《尚书》学的对立并不妨碍双方对谶纬的吸收,谶纬在郑玄手中变成整合古今文《尚书》学的桥梁。     

Bayesian locally optimal design of knockout tournaments

The elimination or knockout format is one of the most common designs for pairing competitors in tournaments and leagues. In each round of a knockout tournament, the losers are eliminated while the winners advance to the next round. Typically, the goal of such a design is to identify the overall best player. Using a common probability model for expressing relative player strengths, we develop an adaptive approach to pairing players each round in which the probability that the best player advances to the next round is maximized. We evaluate our method using simulated game outcomes under several data-generating mechanisms, and compare it to random pairings, to the standard knockout format, and to two variants of the standard format.