Robustness of the EWMA control chart for individual observations

The traditional exponentially weighted moving average (EWMA) chart is one of the most popular control charts used in practice today. The in-control robustness is the key to the proper design and implementation of any control chart, lack of which can render its out-of-control shift detection capability almost meaningless. To this end, Borror et al. [5 Borror, C. M., Montgomery, D. C. and Runger, G. C. 1999. Robustness of the EWMA control chart to non-normality. J. Qual. Technol., 31(3): 309–316. [Taylor & Francis Online], [Web of Science ®] [Google Scholar]] studied the performance of the traditional EWMA chart for the mean for i.i.d. data. We use a more extensive simulation study to further investigate the in-control robustness (to non-normality) of the three different EWMA designs studied by Borror et al. [5 Borror, C. M., Montgomery, D. C. and Runger, G. C. 1999. Robustness of the EWMA control chart to non-normality. J. Qual. Technol., 31(3): 309–316. [Taylor & Francis Online], [Web of Science ®] [Google Scholar]]. Our study includes a much wider collection of non-normal distributions including light- and heavy-tailed and symmetric and asymmetric bi-modal as well as the contaminated normal, which is particularly useful to study the effects of outliers. Also, we consider two separate cases: (i) when the process mean and standard deviation are both known and (ii) when they are both unknown and estimated from an in-control Phase I sample. In addition, unlike in the study done by Borror et al. [5 Borror, C. M., Montgomery, D. C. and Runger, G. C. 1999. Robustness of the EWMA control chart to non-normality. J. Qual. Technol., 31(3): 309–316. [Taylor & Francis Online], [Web of Science ®] [Google Scholar]], the average run-length (ARL) is not used as the sole performance measure in our study, we consider the standard deviation of the run-length (SDRL), the median run-length (MDRL), and the first and the third quartiles as well as the first and the 99th percentiles of the in-control run-length distribution for a better overall assessment of the traditional EWMA chart's in-control performance. Our findings sound a cautionary note to the (over) use of the EWMA chart in practice, at least with some types of non-normal data. A summary and recommendations are provided.     

Outlier detection based on extreme value theory and applications

Whether an extreme observation is an outlier or not depends strongly on the corresponding tail behavior of the underlying distribution. We develop an automatic, data-driven method rooted in the mathematical theory of extremes to identify observations that deviate from the intermediate and central characteristics. The proposed algorithm is an extension of a method previously proposed in the literature for the specific case of heavy tailed Pareto-type distributions to all max-domains of attraction. We propose some applications such as a tail-adjusted boxplot which yields a more accurate representation of possible outliers, and the identification of outliers in a multivariate context through an analysis of associated random variables such as local outlier factors. Several examples and simulation results illustrate the finite sample behavior of the algorithm and its applications.     

A comparison of methods for studentizing the sample median

Various methods for “Studentizing” the sample median are com-pared on the basis of a Monte Carlo study. Several of the methods do rather poorly while two, the bootstrap and the standardized length of a distribution free confidence interval, behave accept-ably acrors a wide range of sample sizes and several distributions of varying tail length. These two methods seem to agree closely with the distribution free confidence intervals and moreover, un-like these intervals, the methods can be extended to a method of accurate inference for λ₁ regreasion.     

On the identification of extreme outliers and dragon-kings mechanisms in the upper tail of income distribution

The presence of extreme outliers in the upper tail data of income distribution affects the Pareto tail modeling. A simulation study is carried out to compare the performance of three types of boxplot in the detection of extreme outliers for Pareto data, including standard boxplot, adjusted boxplot and generalized boxplot. It is found that the generalized boxplot is the best method for determining extreme outliers for Pareto distributed data. For the application, the generalized boxplot is utilized for determining the exreme outliers in the upper tail of Malaysian income distribution. In addition, for this data set, the confidence interval method is applied for examining the presence of dragon-kings, extreme outliers which are beyond the Pareto or power-laws distribution.     

Evaluation of process capability in multivariate nonlinear profiles

ABSTRACT

Process capability indices measure the ability of a process to provide products that meet certain specifications. Few references deal with the capability of a process characterized by a functional relationship between a response variable and one or more explanatory variables, which is called profile. Specifically, there is not any reference analysing the capability of processes characterized by multivariate nonlinear profiles. In this paper, we propose a method to measure the capability of these processes, based on principal components for multivariate functional data and the concept of functional depth. A simulation study is conducted to assess the performance of the proposed method. An example from the sugar production illustrates the applicability of this approach.