全文获取类型
收费全文 | 3895篇 |
免费 | 105篇 |
国内免费 | 29篇 |
专业分类
管理学 | 230篇 |
劳动科学 | 1篇 |
民族学 | 11篇 |
人才学 | 1篇 |
人口学 | 40篇 |
丛书文集 | 147篇 |
理论方法论 | 54篇 |
综合类 | 1317篇 |
社会学 | 72篇 |
统计学 | 2156篇 |
出版年
2024年 | 9篇 |
2023年 | 18篇 |
2022年 | 32篇 |
2021年 | 35篇 |
2020年 | 61篇 |
2019年 | 92篇 |
2018年 | 120篇 |
2017年 | 184篇 |
2016年 | 79篇 |
2015年 | 96篇 |
2014年 | 153篇 |
2013年 | 899篇 |
2012年 | 298篇 |
2011年 | 156篇 |
2010年 | 166篇 |
2009年 | 136篇 |
2008年 | 166篇 |
2007年 | 161篇 |
2006年 | 163篇 |
2005年 | 137篇 |
2004年 | 125篇 |
2003年 | 121篇 |
2002年 | 90篇 |
2001年 | 101篇 |
2000年 | 85篇 |
1999年 | 50篇 |
1998年 | 38篇 |
1997年 | 41篇 |
1996年 | 41篇 |
1995年 | 28篇 |
1994年 | 16篇 |
1993年 | 22篇 |
1992年 | 22篇 |
1991年 | 15篇 |
1990年 | 16篇 |
1989年 | 9篇 |
1988年 | 12篇 |
1987年 | 4篇 |
1986年 | 4篇 |
1985年 | 5篇 |
1984年 | 2篇 |
1983年 | 4篇 |
1982年 | 2篇 |
1981年 | 1篇 |
1980年 | 5篇 |
1979年 | 4篇 |
1978年 | 4篇 |
1976年 | 1篇 |
排序方式: 共有4029条查询结果,搜索用时 15 毫秒
1.
AbstractThe economic mobility of individuals and households is of fundamental interest. While many measures of economic mobility exist, reliance on transition matrices remains pervasive due to simplicity and ease of interpretation. However, estimation of transition matrices is complicated by the well-acknowledged problem of measurement error in self-reported and even administrative data. Existing methods of addressing measurement error are complex, rely on numerous strong assumptions, and often require data from more than two periods. In this article, we investigate what can be learned about economic mobility as measured via transition matrices while formally accounting for measurement error in a reasonably transparent manner. To do so, we develop a nonparametric partial identification approach to bound transition probabilities under various assumptions on the measurement error and mobility processes. This approach is applied to panel data from the United States to explore short-run mobility before and after the Great Recession. 相似文献
2.
Towards Uniformly Efficient Trend Estimation Under Weak/Strong Correlation and Non‐stationary Volatility 下载免费PDF全文
In this paper, we consider the deterministic trend model where the error process is allowed to be weakly or strongly correlated and subject to non‐stationary volatility. Extant estimators of the trend coefficient are analysed. We find that under heteroskedasticity, the Cochrane–Orcutt‐type estimator (with some initial condition) could be less efficient than Ordinary Least Squares (OLS) when the process is highly persistent, whereas it is asymptotically equivalent to OLS when the process is less persistent. An efficient non‐parametrically weighted Cochrane–Orcutt‐type estimator is then proposed. The efficiency is uniform over weak or strong serial correlation and non‐stationary volatility of unknown form. The feasible estimator relies on non‐parametric estimation of the volatility function, and the asymptotic theory is provided. We use the data‐dependent smoothing bandwidth that can automatically adjust for the strength of non‐stationarity in volatilities. The implementation does not require pretesting persistence of the process or specification of non‐stationary volatility. Finite‐sample evaluation via simulations and an empirical application demonstrates the good performance of proposed estimators. 相似文献
3.
AbstractThis paper focuses on the inference of suitable generally non linear functions in stochastic volatility models. In this context, in order to estimate the variance of the proposed estimators, a moving block bootstrap (MBB) approach is suggested and discussed. Under mild assumptions, we show that the MBB procedure is weakly consistent. Moreover, a methodology to choose the optimal length block in the MBB is proposed. Some examples and simulations on the model are also made to show the performance of the proposed procedure. 相似文献
4.
Rodolphe Priam 《统计学通讯:理论与方法》2020,49(18):4468-4489
AbstractThe mean estimators with ratio depend on multiple auxiliary variables and unknown parameters in a finite population setting. We propose a new generalized approach with matrices for modeling the mutivariate mean estimators with two auxiliary variables. Our approach brings naturally a graphical analysis for comparing mean estimators. 相似文献
5.
龙江华 《湖北民族学院学报(哲学社会科学版)》2002,20(2):108-112
通过深入分析非英语专业大学生英语作文中出现的内容、篇章结构、语言表达等方面的非语法错误,提出了写前阶段构思、审题技巧训练及寓写作于精读课教学等相应的纠错策略。 相似文献
6.
Diane Hope Weixing Zhu Corinna Gries Jacob Oleson Jason Kaye Nancy B. Grimm Lawrence A. Baker 《Urban Ecosystems》2005,8(3-4):251-273
We explored variations in inorganic soil nitrogen (N) concentrations across metropolitan Phoenix, Arizona, and the surrounding
desert using a probability-based synoptic survey. Data were examined using spatial statistics on the entire region, as well
as for the desert and urban sites separately. Concentrations of both NO3-N and NH4-N were markedly higher and more heterogeneous amongst urban compared to desert soils. Regional variation in soil NO3-N concentration was best explained by latitude, land use history, population density, along with percent cover of impervious
surfaces and lawn, whereas soil NH4-N concentrations were related to only latitude and population density. Within the urban area, patterns in both soil NO3-N and NH4-N were best predicted by elevation, population density and type of irrigation in the surrounding neighborhood. Spatial autocorrelation
of soil NO3-N concentrations explained 49% of variation among desert sites but was absent between urban sites. We suggest that inorganic
soil N concentrations are controlled by a number of ‘local’ or ‘neighborhood’ human-related drivers in the city, rather than
factors related to an urban-rural gradient. 相似文献
7.
我国高校将“两课”作为实施思想政治教育的主战场目前存在的最大问题是教育教学的某些方面出现离散趋向。本文通过对高校“两课”中出现的离散趋向的分析,认为在思想政治教育教学实践中要实施整合教育,并提出整合教育的具体构想。 相似文献
8.
On Optimality of Bayesian Wavelet Estimators 总被引:2,自引:0,他引:2
Felix Abramovich Umberto Amato Claudia Angelini 《Scandinavian Journal of Statistics》2004,31(2):217-234
Abstract. We investigate the asymptotic optimality of several Bayesian wavelet estimators, namely, posterior mean, posterior median and Bayes Factor, where the prior imposed on wavelet coefficients is a mixture of a mass function at zero and a Gaussian density. We show that in terms of the mean squared error, for the properly chosen hyperparameters of the prior, all the three resulting Bayesian wavelet estimators achieve optimal minimax rates within any prescribed Besov space for p ≥ 2. For 1 ≤ p < 2, the Bayes Factor is still optimal for (2 s +2)/(2 s +1) ≤ p < 2 and always outperforms the posterior mean and the posterior median that can achieve only the best possible rates for linear estimators in this case. 相似文献
9.
分析了影响数控火焰切割机加工精度的主要因素,利用开放式数控系统的软件开放性,提出了采用IGCAQBP学习算法的神经网络方法来对包括金属热变形、机械传动误差等非线性因素在内的多种因素造成的加工误差进行误差补偿,设计了嵌入开放式数控系统中的神经网络误差补偿器,给出了实用的补偿器使用方法,并对误差补偿功能进行了扩展,仿真结果和实际应用表明该方法稳定有效。 相似文献
10.
文章通过解读组诗文本,抓住家园情结这一内核,较为翔实地剖析了诗人对农耕民族的精神历程与诗意关怀,并归纳了三个艺术特点即忧患精神的张扬、时空转换的把握和整体象征的艺术自觉. 相似文献