Beyond tail median and conditional tail expectation: Extreme risk estimation using tail Lp-optimization

The conditional tail expectation (CTE) is an indicator of tail behavior that takes into account both the frequency and magnitude of a tail event. However, the asymptotic normality of its empirical estimator requires that the underlying distribution possess a finite variance; this can be a strong restriction in actuarial and financial applications. A valuable alternative is the median shortfall (MS), although it only gives information about the frequency of a tail event. We construct a class of tail L^p-medians encompassing the MS and CTE. For p in (1,2), a tail L^p-median depends on both the frequency and magnitude of tail events, and its empirical estimator is, within the range of the data, asymptotically normal under a condition weaker than a finite variance. We extrapolate this estimator and another technique to extreme levels using the heavy-tailed framework. The estimators are showcased on a simulation study and on real fire insurance data.     

A Semi-parametric Regression Model with Errors in Variables

Abstract.  In this paper, we consider a partial linear regression model with measurement errors in possibly all the variables. We use a method of moments and deconvolution to construct a new class of parametric estimators together with a non-parametric kernel estimator. Strong convergence, optimal rate of weak convergence and asymptotic normality of the estimators are investigated.     

形式美感:从正常形式到超常形式

视觉艺术的形式美感研究是对美术本体的研究 ,它分为不同质的三个层次 ,即正常形式、反常形式和超常形式。“正常形式”具有自然真实、传统规范和流行图式的结构性特征 ,这是一个基础平台。“反常形式”是对正常形式的解构 ,需要发散思维 ,探索尽可能多的形式可能性 ,这是思维方式和审美趣味的转折点。“超常形式”是对反常形式和正常形式的个人化整合 ,目标是重构“个人化的超常形式” ,占据视觉艺术的制高点     

Approximation of density functions by orthogonal series with grouped data

Summary Letg(x) andf(x) be continuous density function on (a, b) and let {ϕ_j} be a complete orthonormal sequence of functions onL ₂(g), which is the set of squared integrable functions weighted byg on (a, b). Suppose that over (a, b). Given a grouped sample of sizen fromf(x), the paper investigates the asymptotic properties of the restricted maximum likelihood estimator of density, obtained by setting all but the firstm of the ϑ_j’s equal to0. Practical suggestions are given for performing estimation via the use of Fourier and Legendre polynomial series. Research partially supported by: CNR grant, n. 93. 00837. CT10.     

Fuzzy格上的Urysohn度量化定理

当Ｌ是Ｆｕｚｚｙ格时,证明了一个ＣⅡ拓扑分子格（Ｌ,η）可点式ｐ．度量化当且仅当其是正则的;可点式度量化当且仅当其是正则Ｔ１的．     

Estimation for Continuous Branching Processes

The maximum-likelihood estimator for the curved exponential family given by continuous branching processes with immigration is investigated. These processes originated from population biology but also model the dynamics of interest rates and development of the state of technology in economics. It is proved that in contrast to branching processes with discrete space and/or time the MLE gives a unified approach to the inference. In order to include singular subdomains of the parameter space we modify the MLE slightly. Consistency and asymptotic normality for the MLE are considered. Concerning the asymptotic theory of the experiments, all three properties LAQ, LAN, and LAMN occur for different submodels     

A new test for multivariate normality by combining extreme and nonextreme BHEP tests

In this article, we propose a new multiple test procedure for assessing multivariate normality, which combines BHEP (Baringhaus–Henze–Epps–Pulley) tests by considering extreme and nonextreme choices of the tuning parameter in the definition of the BHEP test statistic. Monte Carlo power comparisons indicate that the new test presents a reasonable power against a wide range of alternative distributions, showing itself to be competitive against the most recommended procedures for testing a multivariate hypothesis of normality. We further illustrate the use of the new test for the Fisher Iris dataset.     

Local composite quantile regression estimation of time-varying parameter vector for multidimensional time-inhomogeneous diffusion models

This paper is dedicated to the study of the composite quantile regression (CQR) estimations of time-varying parameter vectors for multidimensional diffusion models. Based on the local linear fitting for parameter vectors, we propose the local linear CQR estimations of the drift parameter vectors, and verify their asymptotic biases, asymptotic variances and asymptotic normality. Moreover, we discuss the asymptotic relative efficiency (ARE) of the local linear CQR estimations with respect to the local linear least-squares estimations. We obtain that the local estimations that we proposed are much more efficient than the local linear least-squares estimations. Simulation studies are constructed to show the performance of the estimations proposed.     

An Extended Single‐index Model with Missing Response at Random

An extended single‐index model is considered when responses are missing at random. A three‐step estimation procedure is developed to define an estimator for the single‐index parameter vector by a joint estimating equation. The proposed estimator is shown to be asymptotically normal. An algorithm for computing this estimator is proposed. This algorithm only involves one‐dimensional nonparametric smoothers, thereby avoiding the data sparsity problem caused by high model dimensionality. Some simulation studies are conducted to investigate the finite sample performances of the proposed estimators.