全文获取类型
收费全文 | 5486篇 |
免费 | 152篇 |
国内免费 | 32篇 |
专业分类
管理学 | 248篇 |
民族学 | 14篇 |
人口学 | 81篇 |
丛书文集 | 179篇 |
理论方法论 | 84篇 |
综合类 | 1328篇 |
社会学 | 120篇 |
统计学 | 3616篇 |
出版年
2024年 | 10篇 |
2023年 | 35篇 |
2022年 | 55篇 |
2021年 | 68篇 |
2020年 | 87篇 |
2019年 | 172篇 |
2018年 | 210篇 |
2017年 | 334篇 |
2016年 | 189篇 |
2015年 | 171篇 |
2014年 | 233篇 |
2013年 | 1285篇 |
2012年 | 402篇 |
2011年 | 231篇 |
2010年 | 207篇 |
2009年 | 204篇 |
2008年 | 229篇 |
2007年 | 190篇 |
2006年 | 161篇 |
2005年 | 183篇 |
2004年 | 162篇 |
2003年 | 142篇 |
2002年 | 110篇 |
2001年 | 119篇 |
2000年 | 88篇 |
1999年 | 65篇 |
1998年 | 67篇 |
1997年 | 43篇 |
1996年 | 29篇 |
1995年 | 29篇 |
1994年 | 20篇 |
1993年 | 23篇 |
1992年 | 24篇 |
1991年 | 13篇 |
1990年 | 9篇 |
1989年 | 8篇 |
1988年 | 10篇 |
1987年 | 5篇 |
1986年 | 3篇 |
1985年 | 8篇 |
1984年 | 6篇 |
1983年 | 7篇 |
1982年 | 5篇 |
1981年 | 3篇 |
1980年 | 5篇 |
1979年 | 1篇 |
1978年 | 1篇 |
1977年 | 6篇 |
1976年 | 1篇 |
1975年 | 2篇 |
排序方式: 共有5670条查询结果,搜索用时 46 毫秒
1.
在关于货币政策影响经济主体风险承担水平,进而影响金融周期波动机制的研究中,基于风险承担渠道的相关研究较为成熟.区别于以往相关研究多关注货币政策实际采取的立场,文章基于货币政策反应函数渠道探讨了数量型与价格型货币政策反应函数对金融周期波动影响的时变机制.滚动回归的实证结果显示:无论数量型货币政策规则还是价格型货币政策规则,货币政策对信贷波动反应的敏感性主要影响金融周期的波动,但在价格型货币政策规则下,基于信贷视角观察金融周期波动时,货币政策信贷敏感性与货币政策资产价格敏感性对金融周期影响差异较小;较之于价格型货币政策规则,货币政策对信贷波动反应的敏感性在数量型货币政策规则下,对金融周期波动的影响更显著,并在一定程度上表现出随时间扩大的趋势.文章的创新之处在于:强调了货币政策通过政策反应函数渠道而非以往研究中较多关注的狭义风险承担渠道影响金融周期波动的事实,并构建计量模型对货币政策反应函数渠道影响金融周期波动的时变机制进行了详细刻画. 相似文献
2.
In the area of quality of life research, researchers may ask respondents to rate importance as well as satisfaction of various life domains (such as job and health) and use importance ratings as weights to calculate overall, or global, life satisfaction. The practice of giving more important domains more weight, known as importance weighting, has not been without controversy. Several previous studies assessed importance weighting using the analytical approach of moderated regression. This study discusses major issues related to how importance weighting has been assessed. Specifically, this study highlights that studies on importance weighting without considering statistical power are prone to type II error, i.e., failing to reject the null hypothesis of no significant weighting effect when the null hypothesis is actually false. The sample size required for adequate statistical power to detect importance weighting functions appeared larger than most previous studies could offer. 相似文献
3.
Financial stress index (FSI) is considered to be an important risk management tool to quantify financial vulnerabilities. This paper proposes a new framework based on a hybrid classifier model that integrates rough set theory (RST), FSI, support vector regression (SVR) and a control chart to identify stressed periods. First, the RST method is applied to select variables. The outputs are used as input data for FSI–SVR computation. Empirical analysis is conducted based on monthly FSI of the Federal Reserve Bank of Saint Louis from January 1992 to June 2011. A comparison study is performed between FSI based on the principal component analysis and FSI–SVR. A control chart based on FSI–SVR and extreme value theory is proposed to identify the extremely stressed periods. Our approach identified different stressed periods including internet bubble, subprime crisis and actual financial stress episodes, along with the calmest periods, agreeing with those given by Federal Reserve System reports. 相似文献
4.
In studies with recurrent event endpoints, misspecified assumptions of event rates or dispersion can lead to underpowered trials or overexposure of patients. Specification of overdispersion is often a particular problem as it is usually not reported in clinical trial publications. Changing event rates over the years have been described for some diseases, adding to the uncertainty in planning. To mitigate the risks of inadequate sample sizes, internal pilot study designs have been proposed with a preference for blinded sample size reestimation procedures, as they generally do not affect the type I error rate and maintain trial integrity. Blinded sample size reestimation procedures are available for trials with recurrent events as endpoints. However, the variance in the reestimated sample size can be considerable in particular with early sample size reviews. Motivated by a randomized controlled trial in paediatric multiple sclerosis, a rare neurological condition in children, we apply the concept of blinded continuous monitoring of information, which is known to reduce the variance in the resulting sample size. Assuming negative binomial distributions for the counts of recurrent relapses, we derive information criteria and propose blinded continuous monitoring procedures. The operating characteristics of these are assessed in Monte Carlo trial simulations demonstrating favourable properties with regard to type I error rate, power, and stopping time, ie, sample size. 相似文献
5.
Modeling spatial overdispersion requires point process models with finite‐dimensional distributions that are overdisperse relative to the Poisson distribution. Fitting such models usually heavily relies on the properties of stationarity, ergodicity, and orderliness. In addition, although processes based on negative binomial finite‐dimensional distributions have been widely considered, they typically fail to simultaneously satisfy the three required properties for fitting. Indeed, it has been conjectured by Diggle and Milne that no negative binomial model can satisfy all three properties. In light of this, we change perspective and construct a new process based on a different overdisperse count model, namely, the generalized Waring (GW) distribution. While comparably tractable and flexible to negative binomial processes, the GW process is shown to possess all required properties and additionally span the negative binomial and Poisson processes as limiting cases. In this sense, the GW process provides an approximate resolution to the conundrum highlighted by Diggle and Milne. 相似文献
6.
This article proposes several estimators for estimating the ridge parameter k based on Poisson ridge regression (RR) model. These estimators have been evaluated by means of Monte Carlo simulations. As performance criteria, we have calculated the mean squared error (MSE), the mean value, and the standard deviation of k. The first criterion is commonly used, while the other two have never been used when analyzing Poisson RR. However, these performance criteria are very informative because, if several estimators have an equal estimated MSE, then those with low average value and standard deviation of k should be preferred. Based on the simulated results, we may recommend some biasing parameters that may be useful for the practitioners in the field of health, social, and physical sciences. 相似文献
7.
8.
T. S. Ferguson 《Statistical Papers》1995,36(1):31-40
A class of symmetric bivariate uniform distributions is proposed for use in statistical modeling. The distributions may be
constructed to be absolutely continuous with correlations as close to±1 as desired. Expressions for the correlations, regressions
and copulas are found. An extension to three dimensions is proposed. 相似文献
9.
A role-reversal in the mother-daughter relationship 总被引:1,自引:1,他引:0
Roberta Kabat Ph.D. 《Clinical Social Work Journal》1996,24(3):255-269
Psychoanalytic theorists have noted a particular dynamic in the mother-infant relationship in which the emotional needs of the mother predominate. When this situation occurs, the emotional needs of the infant may go unmet, resulting in impaired self-development. Through an integration of the ideas of mainstream psychoanalytic theorists and feminist psychoanalytic thinkers, this paper proposes the idea that, because of the intensity of the mother-daughter relationship, this dynamic may be more prevalent between mothers and daughters than between mothers and sons. A mother-daughter relationship is described in which the mother comes to depend on her daughter for emotional attunement and response, and the mother's selfobject needs predominate. As a consequence, the daughter is unable to develop a cohesive sense of self and experiences difficulty in achieving separation. Two clinical reports are presented to illustrate the way in which this mother-daughter dynamic manifests itself in the patient's life and in the therapeutic relationship. A negative transference dynamic is described resulting from these patient's fear of duplicating their relationship with their mothers in the therapeutic relationship by having to meet the selfobject needs of the therapist. 相似文献
10.
郭玉梅 《安徽农业大学学报(社会科学版)》2002,11(2):92-93
影视文化中的消极因素是当代青少年犯罪的一个重要原因.影视文化中的消极因素影响了当代青少年的世界观、人生观、价值观、政治观和道德观.要有效预防和控制当代青少年犯罪就必须消除影视文化的"负面效应".大力弘扬时代的主旋律,严格加强文化市场的管理,科学制定<影视文化法>,积极加强影视文化的评论,努力形成"合力效应". 相似文献