| 汇率变动与新疆出口贸易关系实证分析 |
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| 引用本文： | 张风丽,李德运.汇率变动与新疆出口贸易关系实证分析[J].石河子大学学报(哲学社会科学版),2011,25(6):1-4. |
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| 作者姓名： | 张风丽 李德运 |
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| 作者单位： | 石河子大学经济与管理学院,新疆石河子,832003 |
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| 摘 要： | 面对人民币进一步升值的压力,汇率变动必然会对新疆出口贸易产生一定的影响。该文通过对1985-2010年汇率变动与新疆出口贸易的单位根检验、单整检验、协整检验和误差修正模型,论证了汇率变动对新疆出口贸易有着不可忽视的作用,提出以人民币升值为机遇改善和优化新疆出口商品结构,提高竞争力,进一步促进新疆出口贸易的增长。
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| 关 键 词： | 新疆 汇率 出口贸易 |
Empirical Analysis of Currency Exchange Fluctuation and Export Business of Xinjiang |
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| ZHANG Feng-li
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LI De-yun.Empirical Analysis of Currency Exchange Fluctuation and Export Business of Xinjiang[J].Journal of SHIHEZI University(Philosophy and Social Science),2011,25(6):1-4. |
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| Authors: | ZHANG Feng-li LI De-yun |
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| Institution: | (School of Economics and Management,Shihezi University,Shihezi,832003,Xinjiang,China) |
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| Abstract: | In the face of pressure of further RMB appreciation, currency exchange fluctuation will surely influence the export business of Xinjiang to some degree. The paper analyses the exchange rate fluctuation between 1985-2010 and the export business of Xinjiang using unit root test, integration test, cointegration test, error correction model, demonstrating the nonnegligible role played by currency exchange rate in the export business of Xingjiang. To conclude, the author suggests that RMB appreciation should be taken as an opportunity to improve and optimize the structure of export commodities of Xinjiang, enhancing competition and further promoting the growth of export business of Xinjiang. |
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| Keywords: | Xinjiang exchange rate export business |
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