“后冷战时代”的推测与判定

“后冷战时代”的推测与判定一直是学术界的一个热点和难题。“三集团”论的兴起 ,“大国均势”论的推测 ,“文明冲突”论的预言 ,“单极时刻”论的发展 ,“全球村”的理想与现实 ,等等。人们一遍又一遍地试图以新的推测或判定来宣布“后冷战时代”的终结 ,但“后冷战时代”仍在延续。出现这样一种局面的原因在于冷战后世界的变化是如此迅速和深刻 ,人们已经很难再用一种角度或方式来识别她了。

On the Predictions and Definitions for the Post-Cold War Era

The prediction and definition for the post-cold war era has been a sharp argument and one of the major unresolved issues in the academia From the Three Bloc theory, Multipolar Balance of Powers model, to the controversial Clash of Civilizations and the development of Unipolar Moment, and to the Global Village, the scholars have been trying hard to end the post-cold war era with its redefinitions, but it still works and cannot be replaced so far The reason for the situation is because the post-cold war world has been changing so rapidly and deeply that cannot be identified by a single angle or a single way