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不同来源收入及不确定性对农村居民消费的影响研究
引用本文:吴启涛,卢强,隋世宇. 不同来源收入及不确定性对农村居民消费的影响研究[J]. 东方论坛, 2014, 0(6): 96-102
作者姓名:吴启涛  卢强  隋世宇
作者单位:1. 青岛大学 商学院,山东 青岛,266071
2. 中国人民大学 商学院,北京,100872
3. 青岛市教育局,山东 青岛,266000
基金项目:国家社会科学基金项目“基于广义收入的提高居民消费能力长效机制研究”
摘    要:在预防性储蓄理论基础上,将不同收入来源及其收入不确定性引入分析框架,以考察收入来源及其不确定性对我国农村居民消费行为的影响。利用2001-2011年30个省(市自治区)的面板数据,采用调整离差指标来对农村居民不同来源收入的不确定性进行测量。通过实证检验发现:不同收入来源对农村居民消费的拉动作用不同,从影响程度来看,由高到低依次为转移性收入、工资性收入和经营性收入;收入不确定性对农村居民消费行为具有抑制作用,增加了居民的预防性储蓄动机。基于本研究结论就促进我国农村居民消费水平提高提出了政策建议。

关 键 词:收入来源  不确定性  农民消费

Research of Different Income Sources and Uncertainty on Farmers' Consumption
WU Qi-tao,LU Qiang,SUI Shi-yu. Research of Different Income Sources and Uncertainty on Farmers' Consumption[J]. Orient Forum, 2014, 0(6): 96-102
Authors:WU Qi-tao  LU Qiang  SUI Shi-yu
Affiliation:WU Qi-tao, LU Qiang, SUI Shi-yu ( 1.College of International Business, Qingdao University, Qingdao 266071, China; 2.School of Business, Renmin University of China, Beijing 100872, China; 3.Qingdao City Bureau of Education, Qingdao 266000, China )
Abstract:Based on precautionary saving theory, the different income sources and uncertainty are introduced to analyze Chinese rural residents' consuming behavior. By using the adjustment of the deviation index to measure the people's different income uncertainties, this paper empirically analyzes different income sources and uncertainties of farmers' consumption with 30 different regions' panel data from 2001 to 2011.The results show that the pulling function of different income sources on the consumption is different. In terms of the influence degree, the sequence is transfer income, wage income and operating income. And income uncertainty has negative impact. Several implications are derived from the analysis to improve Chinese rural residents' consuming behavior.
Keywords:income source  uncertainty  farmers' consumption
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