| 山西普通高等教育规模发展回归分析与未来发展预测 |
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| 引用本文： | 韩翠萍,张正义.山西普通高等教育规模发展回归分析与未来发展预测[J].山西农业大学学报(社会科学版),2006,5(2):198-200. |
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| 作者姓名： | 韩翠萍 张正义 |
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| 作者单位： | 山西大学,教育科学学院,山西,太原,030006 |
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| 摘 要： | 经济发展水平虽不是影响和制约高等教育发展的唯一决定因素,但经济因素对高等教育发展的决定性作用却非常明显。通过对山西普通高等教育规模发展与GDP发展指标的定量分析,建立了相关的数学模型,分析得出山西普通高等教育规模发展超过经济的发展水平。利用数学模型对山西普通高等教育未来规模发展进行了分析和预测,以便为政府部门决策提供重要参考。
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| 关 键 词： | 高等教育 规模发展 分析预测 |
| 文章编号： | 1671-816X(2006)02-0198-03 |
| 修稿时间： | 2006年2月20日 |
The Shanxi Province Ordinary Higher Education and the Economical Development Regression Analysis and the Future Forecast Development |
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| HAN Cui-ping,ZHANG Zheng-yi.The Shanxi Province Ordinary Higher Education and the Economical Development Regression Analysis and the Future Forecast Development[J].Journal of Shanxi Agricultural University:Social Science Edition,2006,5(2):198-200. |
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| Authors: | HAN Cui-ping ZHANG Zheng-yi |
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| Abstract: | The economy level of development although is not only the determining factor on influencing and restricting on higher education,but it is obvious that the economic agent has decisive function on higher education.The article analysised the development of Shanxi ordinary higher education scale and gave a quantitative analysis to GDP,obtained the conclusion:ordinary Shanxi higher education scale development surpassed the economical level of development.And establishes the related mathematical model in the foundation,makes the reasonable forecast to the higher education development scale,provides the policy-making basis for government. |
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| Keywords: | Higher education Scale development Future forecast |
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