The impact of a Tax-Based Incomes Policy on U.S. macroeconomic performance: An optimal control study |
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Authors: | Robert S. Chirinko Laurence S. Seidman |
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Affiliation: | Northwestern University, U.S.A.;Swarthmore College, U.S.A. |
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Abstract: | This study attempts to estimate the potential impact of a Tax-Based Incomes Policy (TIP) on macroeconomic performance by applying an optimal control algorithm to the Wharton Quarterly Econometric Model. A TIP is any tax incentive that would induce firms and/or workers to reduce wage increases. Our study is applicable to any version of TIP. To isolate TIP's potential impact, we compare the optimal path of the economy without TIP to the optimal path of the economy with TIP. Our conclusion is that a TIP may be able to significantly improve the path of inflation, unemployment, and real GNP simultaneously. |
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Keywords: | Address correspondence to Robert S. Chirinko Department of Economics Northwestern University Evanston IL 60201 USA. |
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