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Duration dependence and heterogeneity in French youth unemployment durations |
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| Authors: | Gerard J van den Berg Jan C van Ours |
| Institution: | (1) Department of Economics, Free University Amsterdam, De Boelelaan 1105, 1081 HV Amsterdam, The Netherlands (Fax: +31-20-4446020; e-mail: gberg@econ.vu.nl), NL;(2) Tinbergen Institute, Keizersgracht 482, 1017 EG Amsterdam, The Netherlands, NL;(3) CEPR, 90-98 Goswell Road, London EC1V 7RR, UK, GB;(4) Department of Economics and CentER, University Tilburg, P.O. Box 90153, 5000 LE Tilburg, The Netherlands, NL |
| Abstract: | This paper investigates the degree to which the individual exit rate out of unemployment for young job seekers changes as a function of the elapsed unemployment duration. We use a nonparametric estimation method for population data on outflows from different duration classes. The method also provides estimates of the amount of unobserved heterogeneity in these data. We explicitly take into account that individual exit rates are affected by the business cycle. The method is applied to population data on young French unemployed job seekers. The results are used for policy recommendations. Received: 17 October 1996/Accepted: 23 July 1998 |
| Keywords: | JEL classification: J6 |
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