| 内蒙古综合运输需求预测 |
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| 引用本文： | 姜革锋.内蒙古综合运输需求预测[J].北京交通大学学报(社会科学版),2009,8(4):43-46. |
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| 作者姓名： | 姜革锋 |
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| 作者单位： | 北京交通大学,经济管理学院,北京,100044 |
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| 基金项目： | 交通部课题"内蒙古综合运输体系配套技术及运作模式研究"(200631800054)的部分研究成果 |
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| 摘 要： | 本文运用灰色系统模型和指数平滑方法对内蒙古地区近12年相关运输数据进行分析，预测出内蒙古地区未来5年综合运输需求的客运总量和货运总量。2010—2015年内蒙古地区综合运输需求总量将继续保持上升趋势，综合运输发展具有较大潜力。
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| 关 键 词： | 综合运输 需求预测 灰色系统模型 指数平滑方法 |
Demand Forecast of Integrated Transportation in Inner Mongolia |
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| JIANG Ge-feng.Demand Forecast of Integrated Transportation in Inner Mongolia[J].Journal of Beijing Jiaotong University Social Sciences Edition,2009,8(4):43-46. |
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| Authors: | JIANG Ge-feng |
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| Institution: | JIANG Ge-feng (School of Economics , Management,Beijing Jiaotong University,Beijing 100044,China) |
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| Abstract: | In recent years,the demand of integrated transportation in Inner Mongolia region keeps increasingup.In this paper,the method of gray system model and exponential smoothing method is used to analyze the transport data of Inner Mongolia during the past twelve years and to predict the passenger volume and cargo volume of Inner Mongolia the next 5 years.In addition,the paper points out that the demand of integrated transportation in Inner Mongolia region during the 2010-2015years. will continue to maintain upwa... |
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| Keywords: | integrated transportation demand forecast grey system model exponential smoothing method |
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