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Search With Learning for Differentiated Products: Evidence from E-Commerce
Authors:Babur De Los Santos  Ali Hortaçsu  Matthijs R Wildenbeest
Institution:1. John E. Walker Department of Economics, Clemson University, 228 Sirrine Hall, Clemson, SC 29634 (babur@clemson.edu);2. Department of Economics, University of Chicago, 5757 S. University Avenue, Chicago, IL 60637 (hortacsu@uchicago.edu);3. Kelley School of Business, Indiana University, 1309 E. 10th Street, Bloomington, IN 47405 (mwildenb@indiana.edu)
Abstract:This article provides a method to estimate search costs in a differentiated product environment in which consumers are uncertain about the utility distribution. Consumers learn about the utility distribution by Bayesian updating their Dirichlet process prior beliefs. The model provides expressions for bounds on the search costs that can rationalize observed search and purchasing behavior. Using individual-specific data on web browsing and purchasing behavior for MP3 players sold online we show how to use these bounds to estimate search costs as well as the parameters of the utility distribution. Our estimates indicate that search costs are sizable. We show that ignoring consumer learning while searching can lead to severely biased search cost and elasticity estimates.
Keywords:Consumer behavior  Consumer search  Discrete choice models of demand
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