改革开放后北京、上海、广州对流动人口的经济拉力因素的分析

本文以推拉理论建立多元线性模型并运用逐步回归的方法,分析改革开放后北京、上海、广州吸引流动人口流入的经济因素。结果显示流动人口主要依据微观经济因素做出流动迁移决策;不同城市对流动人口产生拉力的具体的微观经济因素不尽相同,即使有相同经济拉力因素的城市,拉力的大小也有差异;三城市的流动人口就业的分布不同,广州流动人口就业集中分布于第三产业,北京和上海则不然。

The Analysis of Economical Pulling Factors For Migrants in Beijing,Shanghai and Guangzhou After Reform and Opening

The article analyses the economical pulling factors of Beijing,Shanghai and Guangzhou for migrants after reform and opening within the framework of the theory of push-pulling by setting up multiple regression model and using stepping method.The result shows that migrants make their migration decision according to microscopic economical factors.Different cities do not have completely the same microscopic economic pulling factors,and even for those who have the same pulling factors,the strength of pulling differs from each other.The occupation distributions of migrants in three cities are different,migrants in Guangzhou concentrate in tertiary industry,yet migrants in Beijing and Shanghai do not.