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Model influence functions based on mixtures
Authors:Paul Gustafson
Abstract:Influence functions are considered as diagnostics for model departures in parametric Bayesian inference. A baseline model density is expressed as a mixture; then the mixing distribution is perturbed. This is designed to engender perturbations which are plausible a priori. The influence of perturbations is measured for both Bayes estimates and their associated posterior expected losses. To assess the plausibility of perturbations a posteriori, an additional influence function is constructed for the Bayes factor comparing the perturbed and baseline models. The effect of perturbation on various estimands is incorporated in the analysis.
Keywords:Bayesian robustness  influence function  model sensitivity  mixture
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