| 国际金融危机对我国进出口贸易的冲击——基于贸易方式视角的实证研究 |
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| 引用本文： | 陈守东,刘琳琳.国际金融危机对我国进出口贸易的冲击——基于贸易方式视角的实证研究[J].吉林大学社会科学学报,2012(4):117-127,160. |
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| 作者姓名： | 陈守东 刘琳琳 |
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| 作者单位： | 吉林大学数量经济研究中心暨商学院;吉林大学商学院;吉林财经大学 |
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| 基金项目： | 吉林大学“985工程”项目;教育部人文社会科学重点研究基地重大项目(07JJD790131,08JJD790153,2009JJD790015);国家社会科学基金重大项目(10ZD&010,10ZD&006) |
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| 摘 要： | 从贸易方式的视角为我国一般贸易与加工贸易进口、出口总额建立动态因子模型,分析金融危机对我国进出口贸易的冲击影响。研究结果表明:本次金融危机对我国进出口贸易总体情况存在巨大的负面冲击影响,收入效应和价格效应较为强烈,但一般贸易与加工贸易面对金融危机冲击的反应存在差异,一般贸易对外需的变动较为敏感,加工贸易对汇率的变动较为敏感。
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| 关 键 词： | 进出口贸易 一般贸易 加工贸易 收入效应 价格效应 动态因子模型 |
The Impacts of International Financial Crisis on China’s Foreign Trade:An Empirical Analysis Based on Trade Type |
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| CHEN Shou-dong,LIU Lin-lin.The Impacts of International Financial Crisis on China’s Foreign Trade:An Empirical Analysis Based on Trade Type[J].Jilin University Journal Social Sciences Edition,2012(4):117-127,160. |
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| Authors: | CHEN Shou-dong LIU Lin-lin |
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| Institution: | CHEN Shou-dong,LIU Lin-lin |
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| Abstract: | Based on the trade type,this paper builds the Dynamic Factor Model of total export-import volume of the general trade and processing trade to analyze the impacts of the international financial crisis on China’s foreign trade.The results show that the international financial crisis has imposed a significantly negative impact on China’s foreign trade.It influences the income effect and the price effect severely.However,the general trade and the processing trade react differently against financial crisis.The general trade is sensitive to the fluctuation of the foreign demand while the processing trade sensitive to the fluctuation of the exchange rate. |
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| Keywords: | general trade processing trade income effect price effect Dynamic Factor Model |
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