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论经济周期波动的随机统计规律
引用本文:汪浩瀚.论经济周期波动的随机统计规律[J].宁波大学学报(人文科学版),1995(3).
作者姓名:汪浩瀚
摘    要:从经济周期波动的特征出发,分析经济周期现象中考虑随机性的合理性和必要性,可看出经济周期运动的内在机制中蕴含着大量的不确定随机因素及对经济周期波动的影响,从随机周期现象入手,针对周期波动的研究历史和现状,就可得到新的启示和评价.

关 键 词:经济周期,景气指数,监测预警,统计控制

ON THE STOCHASTIC STATISTICAL REGULARITY OF ECONOMIC CYCLES
Wang Haohan.ON THE STOCHASTIC STATISTICAL REGULARITY OF ECONOMIC CYCLES[J].Journal of Ningbo University(Liberal Arts Edition),1995(3).
Authors:Wang Haohan
Institution:Wang Haohan
Abstract:From the characteristics of economic cycles,this essay analysises the rationality of considering the randomness in the phenomena of economic cycles.It shows that there exist large amount of indefinite indefinite factors in the inner system of economic cycles and its influence on the economic cycles.In addition. from the phenomena of random cycles, the researchhistory and current state of ecommic cycles, we can get new inspiration and comment.
Keywords:economic cycles  prosperity-index  inspecting and forecasting statistical control  
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