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MODEL FORMULATION FOR FLEET SIZE ANALYSIS OF A UNIVERSITY MOTOR POOL
Authors:William W. Williams  Oscar S. Fowler
Abstract:A GPSS/360 model was developed to investigate the behavior of a university's motor pool dispatch fleet. Time-series data were collected and frequency distributions were constructed for vehicle request patterns and trip-duration times. Regression analysis was performed to formulate trip mileage generators as functions of service time. Appropriate statistical goodness-of-fit tests were conducted to ascertain the extent of congruence between actual system behavior and expectations based on a number of theoretical distributions. Analysis of simulated response variables indicates that the model's internal structure reproduces reality to a high degree. Fifteen years of simulated experience were generated for six alternative fleet size configurations; results suggest that reductions in existing fleet capacity could be realized without effecting undue impairment in service levels.
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