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Are government deficits the prime cause of inflation?
Authors:Ulrich R Kohli
Institution:University of Colorado, USA;Reserve Bank of Australia, Australia
Abstract:We argue in this article that if government bonds are counted as part of private wealth, government budget deficits are a major cause of inflation, and the method chosen to finance the deficits (e.g., borrowing or monetary expansion) is of secondary importance. To illustrate this point we use a simple portfolio model that is then incorporated into a model of the Australian economy. The full model is specified in continuous time, and it is estimated by the full information maximum likelihood method (FIML) it is then used to simulate a number of fiscal shocks.
Keywords:Address correspondence to: Ulrich Kohli  Department of Economics  University of Colorado  Boulder  CO 80309  USA  
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