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Evaluation of multivariate surveillance
Authors:Marianne Frisén  Eva Andersson  Linus Schiöler
Affiliation:1. Statistical Research Unit, Department of Economics , University of Gothenburg , Gothenburg, SE, 40530, Sweden;2. Statistical Research Unit, Department of Economics , University of Gothenburg , Gothenburg, SE, 40530, Sweden;3. Department of Occupational and Environmental Medicine , Sahlgrenska University Hospital and Sahlgrenska Academy, University of Gothenburg , Gothenburg, SE, 40530, Sweden
Abstract:Multivariate surveillance is of interest in many areas such as industrial production, bioterrorism detection, spatial surveillance, and financial transaction strategies. Some of the suggested approaches to multivariate surveillance have been multivariate counterparts to the univariate Shewhart, EWMA, and CUSUM methods. Our emphasis is on the special challenges of evaluating multivariate surveillance methods. Some new measures are suggested and the properties of several measures are demonstrated by applications to various situations. It is demonstrated that zero-state and steady-state ARL, which are widely used in univariate surveillance, should be used with care in multivariate surveillance.
Keywords:average run length  EWMA  false alarms  FDR  performance metrics  predictive value  steady state  zero state
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