Forecasting for some stochastic process models related to sow farm management |
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| Authors: | Juan Miguel Marí n Lluis M. Pl David Rí os-Insua |
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| Affiliation: | a Department of Statistics, Universidad Carlos III.,b Department of Mathematics, Universitat de Lleida.,c Animal Production Area, UdL-IRTA Center.,d Statistics and Decision Sciences Group, Universidad Rey Juan Carlos, |
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| Abstract: | Sow farm management requires appropriate methods to forecast the sow population structure evolution. We describe two models for such purpose. The first is a semi-Markov process model, used for long-term predictions and strategic management. The second is a state-space model for continuous proportions, used for short-term predictions and operational management. |
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| Keywords: | Sow herd management semi-Markov models dynamic linear models Bayesian inference and forecasting |
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