| 证券技术分析何以预测 |
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| 引用本文： | 魏峰,佘传奇. 证券技术分析何以预测[J]. 安徽农业大学学报(社会科学版), 2002, 11(4): 39-40. DOI: 10.3969/j.issn.1009-2463.2002.04.012 |
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| 作者姓名： | 魏峰 佘传奇 |
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| 作者单位： | 安徽大学,经济学院,安徽,合肥,230039 |
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| 摘 要： | 证券技术分析自诞生以来,其合理性和有效性就一直受到了普遍的关注.有些人认为技术分析的作用非常有限,甚至是毫无根据和无效的.这一种观念在有效市场假说创立以来更上升到了理论的高度.本文认为,技术分析作为一种在证券投资中被广泛应用的预测股价变动的工具,具有一定的内在合理性因素,可以用来对股价变动的趋势作出预言.但必须指出:技术分析的科学性尚不能得到承认.
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| 关 键 词： | 证券技术分析 有效市场假说 趋势 回归方法 预测 |
| 文章编号： | 1009-2463(2002)04-0039-02 |
| 修稿时间： | 2002-06-03 |
Why Securities'' Technical Analysis Method Can Be Used for Forecasting |
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| WEI Feng,SHE Chuan-qi. Why Securities'' Technical Analysis Method Can Be Used for Forecasting[J]. Journal of Anhui Agricultural University(Philosophy & Social Sciences Edition), 2002, 11(4): 39-40. DOI: 10.3969/j.issn.1009-2463.2002.04.012 |
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| Authors: | WEI Feng SHE Chuan-qi |
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| Affiliation: | School of Economy, Anhui University;School of Economy, Anhui University |
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| Abstract: | Since the technical method for the an alysis of securities was created,its reasonability and validity have always been paid attention to.This article show s that the technical analysis method does have some internal reasonable f actors and can be used to forecast the changing tendency of the price of stocks,but its scientific value has to be con-firmed. |
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| Keywords: | technical analysis for securities Efficient Market Hypothesis tendency regression method forecast |
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