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Model averaging procedure for partially linear single-index models
Authors:Yao Yu  Sally W Thurston  Russ Hauser  Hua Liang
Institution:1. Department of Biostatistics and Computational Biology, University of Rochester, NY 14642, USA;2. Department of Environmental Health, Harvard School of Public Health Boston, MA 02115, USA
Abstract:This paper is concerned with model selection and model averaging procedures for partially linear single-index models. The profile least squares procedure is employed to estimate regression coefficients for the full model and submodels. We show that the estimators for submodels are asymptotically normal. Based on the asymptotic distribution of the estimators, we derive the focused information criterion (FIC), formulate the frequentist model average (FMA) estimators and construct proper confidence intervals for FMA estimators and FIC estimator, a special case of FMA estimators. Monte Carlo studies are performed to demonstrate the superiority of the proposed method over the full model, and over models chosen by AIC or BIC in terms of coverage probability and mean squared error. Our approach is further applied to real data from a male fertility study to explore potential factors related to sperm concentration and estimate the relationship between sperm concentration and monobutyl phthalate.
Keywords:Profile least squares procedure  AIC  BIC  Focused information criterion (FIC)  Frequentist model averaging (FMA)
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