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A test for abrupt change in hazard regression models with Weibull baselines
Authors:Matthew R Williams  Dong-Yun Kim
Institution:1. Department of Statistics, Virginia Tech, Blacksburg, VA, USA;2. Research and Development Division, National Agricultural Statistics Service, United States Department of Agriculture, Fairfax, VA, USA
Abstract:We develop a likelihood ratio test for an abrupt change point in Weibull hazard functions with covariates, including the two-piece constant hazard as a special case. We first define the log-likelihood ratio test statistic as the supremum of the profile log-likelihood ratio process over the interval which may contain an unknown change point. Using local asymptotic normality (LAN) and empirical measure, we show that the profile log-likelihood ratio process converges weakly to a quadratic form of Gaussian processes. We determine the critical values of the test and discuss how the test can be used for model selection. We also illustrate the method using the Chronic Granulomatous Disease (CGD) data.
Keywords:Change point  Hazard regression  Likelihood ratio test  Local asymptotic normality
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