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Nonlinear unbiased estimation in the linear regression model with nonnormal disturbances
Institution:1. Air Force Research Laboratory, Wight-Patterson Air Force Base, OH 45433 USA;2. Purdue University, School of Mechanical Engineering, West Lafayette, IN 47907 USA;3. Spectral Energies LLC, 5100 Springfield Street, Suite 301, Dayton, OH 45431, USA
Abstract:In the application of the linear regression model there continues to be wide-spread use of the Least Squares Estimator (LSE) due to its theoretical optimality. For example, it is well known that the LSE is the best unbiased estimator under normality while it remains best linear unbiased estimator (BLUE) when the normality assumption is dropped. In this paper we extend an approach given in Knautz (1993) that allows improvement of the LSE in the context of nonnormal and nonsymmetric error distributions. It will be shown that there exist linear plus quadratic (LPQ) estimators, consisting of linear and quadratic terms in the dependent variable, which dominate the LS estimator, depending on second, third and fourth moments of the error distribution. A simulation study illustrates that this remains true if the moments have to be estimated from the data. Computation of confidence intervals using bootstrap methods reveal significant improvement compared with inference based on the LS especially for nonsymmetric distributions of the error term.
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