Cointegration in VAR(1) process: Characterization and testing |
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Authors: | Umberto Triacca |
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Affiliation: | (1) Istituto Nazionale di Statistica, via Cesare Balbo 16, 00184 Roma, Italy |
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Abstract: | In this paper we taken a rather different approach to the concept of cointegration (comparated to existing literature) by focusing on the distance norm of an appropriately defined stochastic process (the first differences of one series) and a closed linear subspace defined from the first differences of the other series. The main result contained in Theorem 2 states that, within a VAR(l) framework, two series are cointegrated if and only if this distance is smaller than the standard deviation of the former process. It links cointegration to the evaluation of the distance between two information sets concerning the short-run dynamic paths of the variables. Hence cointegration can be detected by the differenced series. We, also propose a test for cointegration |
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