性别对“4050”失业者的失业持续时间和再就业机会的影响——运用生存模型对厦门市失业者的经验研究

本文应用生存模型中的非参数法和COX半参数法,经验分析了性别对厦门市"4050"失业者的失业持续时间与再就业机会的影响。经验分析结果表明,性别对"4050"失业者的失业持续时间与再就业机会具有比较显著的影响,男性的平均失业持续时间为21.7个月,比女性的16.9个月长4.8个月,其再就业机会是女性的0.674倍。本文认为"4050"劳动力再就业市场上的阴盛阳衰现象在于"4050"劳动力再就业市场上男性的工作机会及接受工作的概率低于女性。因此,转变就业观念,择业不挑肥拣瘦,是促进再就业和构建和谐社会的重要途径。

The Effect of Gender Difference on Unemployment Duration and Re-employment Opportunity: A Case study of "4050" unemployees in Xiamen

By employing nonparametric and Cox parametric method in our analysis of the data collected from those unemployed who are at the age of 40-50("4050" unemployed) in Xiamen,this paper analyzes the effect of gender on these people's unemployment durations and re-employment opportunity.It has found that the effect is statistically significant.Male's average unemployment duration is 21.7 months,about 4.8 months longer that females(16.9 months),while male's reemployment opportunity is about 0.674 times of that of females.This may be because females are more adaptable than males to their jobs.It suggests that policies should be made to encourage people to change their traditional understanding of jobs.