The earned income tax credit and fertility |
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| Authors: | Reagan Baughman Stacy Dickert-Conlin |
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| Institution: | (1) Department of Economics, University of New Hampshire, 401C McConnell Hall, Durham, NH 03824, USA;(2) Department of Economics, Michigan State University, 110 Marshall-Adams Hall, East Lansing, MI 48824, USA |
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| Abstract: | Government programs designed to provide income safety nets often restrict eligibility to families with children, creating
an unintended fertility incentive. This paper considers whether dramatically changing incentives in the earned income tax
credit affect fertility rates in the USA. We use birth certificate data spanning the period 1990 to 1999 to test whether expansions
in the credit influenced birthrate among targeted families. While economic theory would predict a positive fertility effect
of the program for many eligible women, our results indicate that expanding the credit produced only extremely small reductions in higher order fertility among white women.
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| Keywords: | Earned income tax credit Fertility Taxes |
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