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Unconditional government social cash transfer in Africa does not increase fertility
Authors:Tia?Palermo  Sudhanshu?Handa  Amber?Peterman  Leah?Prencipe  David?Seidenfeld
Affiliation:1.UNICEF Office of Research—Innocenti,Florence,Italy;2.Department of Public Policy,University of North Carolina,Chapel Hill,USA;3.American Institutes for Research (AIR),Washington,USA
Abstract:Among policymakers, a common perception surrounding the effects of cash transfer programmes, particularly unconditional programmes targeted to families with children, is that they induce increased fertility. We evaluate the Zambian Child Grant Programme, a government unconditional cash transfer targeted to families with a child under the age of 5 and examine impacts on fertility and household composition. The evaluation was a cluster randomized control trial, with data collected over 4 years from 2010 to 2014. Our results indicate that there are no programme impacts on overall fertility. Our results contribute to a small evidence base demonstrating that there are no unintended incentives related to fertility due to cash transfers.
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