| 收入因素与人口因素建模的实证分析 |
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| 引用本文： | 高辉. 收入因素与人口因素建模的实证分析[J]. 太原理工大学学报(社会科学版), 2003, 21(2): 12-16 |
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| 作者姓名： | 高辉 |
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| 作者单位： | 东北财经大学,统计系,辽宁,大连,116025 |
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| 摘 要： | 就收入因素与人口因素关系模型的构建作了探讨,找到了GDP与总人口的无约束的二阶二次多项式分布滞后正负反馈模型.从模型的各项综合评价指标看,无论是GDP关于总人口的正反馈模型,还是其负反馈模型,均是与预测效果拟合相当良好的经济计量模型.
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| 关 键 词： | GDP 人口 多项式分布滞后 正负反馈 |
| 文章编号： | 1009-5837(2003)02-0012-05 |
| 修稿时间： | 2002-11-25 |
An Analysis of Model Building of Income Factor and Population Factor |
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| GAO HUI. An Analysis of Model Building of Income Factor and Population Factor[J]. Journal of Taiyuan University of Technology(Social Sciences Edition), 2003, 21(2): 12-16 |
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| Authors: | GAO HUI |
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| Abstract: | The author discusses the relationship of models-building between the income factor and the population factor, and establishes the second-degree and second-order unrestricted polynomial distributed lag positive and negative feedback models finally. From kinds of synthesis evaluating indexes, the author discovers that either the positive feedback models or the negative feedback models can be perfect economitrics models with good fitness and forecasting effectiveness. |
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| Keywords: | GDP population polynomial distributed lag positive and negative feedback |
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