首页 | 本学科首页   官方微博 | 高级检索  
     检索      


Urban growth in China: past, prospect, and its impacts
Authors:G-Y Cao  G Chen  L-H Pang  X-Y Zheng  S Nilsson
Institution:1. International Institute for Applied System Analysis (IIASA), Laxenburg, Austria
2. The Institute of Population Research, Peking University, WHO Collaborating Center on Reproductive Health and Population Science, Beijing, 100861, People’s Republic of China
Abstract:Rapid growth and globalization of the domestic economy have dramatically accelerated urbanization in China, resulting in significant environmental impacts and challenges for sustainable development. Using a multistate model accounting for distributional aspects of age, sex, education, and migration in rural and urban regions, we estimate the magnitude of urbanization in China through 2030 and examine some major associated sustainability issues. Results indicate that: (1) for a range of assumptions, China’s urban population will nearly double from 2000 to 2030; (2) the labor force will constitute a larger share of total population in urban areas than rural due to internal migration of younger workers—this appears particularly true for the mega-urban metropolises of Beijing and Shanghai; (3) rural populations will experience more aging than urban; and (4) level of education among China’s rural labor force will remain low, which could pressure China’s industrial structural transition from an agricultural to a service-based economy.
Keywords:
本文献已被 SpringerLink 等数据库收录!
设为首页 | 免责声明 | 关于勤云 | 加入收藏

Copyright©北京勤云科技发展有限公司  京ICP备09084417号