Bootstrap tests for time varying cointegration |
| |
Authors: | Luis F Martins |
| |
Institution: | Department of Quantitative Methods, Instituto Universitário de Lisboa (ISCTE-IUL), Lisbon, Portugal, and Centre for International Macroeconomic Studies, University of Surrey, UK |
| |
Abstract: | This article proposes wild and the independent and identically distibuted (i.i.d.) parametric bootstrap implementations of the time-varying cointegration test of Bierens and Martins (2010 Bierens, H. J., Martins, L. F. (2010). Time varying cointegration. Econometric Theory 26:1453–1490.Crossref], Web of Science ®] , Google Scholar]). The bootstrap statistics and the original likelihood ratio test share the same first-order asymptotic null distribution. Monte Carlo results suggest that the bootstrap approximation to the finite-sample distribution is very accurate, in particular for the wild bootstrap case. The tests are applied to study the purchasing power parity hypothesis for twelve Organisation for Economic Cooperation and Development (OECD) countries and we only find evidence of a constant long-term equilibrium for the U.S.–U.K. relationship. |
| |
Keywords: | Bootstrap likelihood ratio test purchasing power parity hypothesis time-varying cointegration |
|
|