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巨灾风险经济抗逆力评价及分布特征分析
引用本文:谢家智,王文涛,车四方.巨灾风险经济抗逆力评价及分布特征分析[J].湖南大学学报(社会科学版),2016(3):85-93.
作者姓名:谢家智  王文涛  车四方
作者单位:(西南大学 经济管理学院,重庆400715)
摘    要:经济抗逆力开启了新型风险管理和评价工具。基于经济抗逆力的理论分析,构建包括经济稳定、市场效率、治理能力、社会发展、信息化发展在内的经济抗逆力综合评价指标体系。运用省域的面板数据,引入信息熵权法修正权重,从省际结构、地理区域和聚类分组等多维度测算中国经济抗逆力及其空间分布特征。研究发现,中国经济抗逆力总体呈现上升趋势,但增速放缓。而且,经济抗逆力具有较为典型的区域分布特征。各类分指数中,市场效率指数、社会发展指数与信息化发展指数是不同区域经济抗逆力水平提升的重要驱动因素,而治理能力指数偏低和经济稳定指数下降是经济抗逆力提升的主要制约变量。

关 键 词:经济抗逆力  评价体系  分布特征  信息熵

Evaluation of Social Resilience and Analysis in Distribution Characteristics
XIE Jia-zhi,WANG Wen-tao,CHE Si-fang.Evaluation of Social Resilience and Analysis in Distribution Characteristics[J].Journal of Hunan University(Social Sciences),2016(3):85-93.
Authors:XIE Jia-zhi  WANG Wen-tao  CHE Si-fang
Institution:(College of Economics and Management, Southwest University, Chongqing400715,China)
Abstract:Social resilience has opened a new risk management and evaluation tool. A comprehensive evaluation index system of the economic resilience would be built, which includes economic stability, market efficiency, governance ability, social development, and informatization based on the theory of economic resilience. By adopting provincial panel data and introducing information entropy method to revise the weights, the economic resilience and its spatial distribution characteristics are estimated from the provincial structure, geographic area and clustering and other more measurements. The results show that, the economic resilience shows an upward trend in China;however, its growth is slowing down;moreover, the economic resilience has typical regional distribution characteristics. Social development index, informatization development index, and market efficiency index are important driving factors of the ascension of economic resilience level for different regions, but both the lower governance capability index and dropping economic stability index are the main restricted variables to economic resilience in China.
Keywords:Social resilience  evaluation system  distribution characteristics  information entropy
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