外商直接投资与区域经济增长--中国20世纪90年代时间序列数据计量分析及格兰杰因果关系检验

从对中国东中西部的时间序列数据计量结果看,三个地区的本期FDI对经济增长均有显著影响;三个地区的本期GDP对FDI均有着显著影响.从对上海和河北两省市时间序列数据的计量结果看,上海的FDI对经济增长有显著促进作用,河北的情况不显著;上海的经济增长对FDI有显著促进作用,河北的情况也不明朗.对东中西部时间序列数据进行格兰杰因果关系检验的结果表明,在东部地区和中部地区,FDI是经济增长的原因;GDP也是FDI增长的原因,二者构成Granger意义上的因果关系;在西部地区,FDI与GDP还不能构成这种因果关系.

FDI and Regional Economic Growth--A Quantitive Analysis of the Time Queue Data of 1990's in China and Granger No-Causality Testing

From the time queue data results,we can see FDI has strong positive correlation with the economic growth in the Eastern, the Middle and the Western regions. GDP in the three regions also has positive correlation with their FDI separately. For the Eastern region,Shanghai is the case,but He-bei is not. FDI is the cause of economic growth in the Eastern and Middle Regions, Economic growth is also the cause of FDI inflow in the two regions. There is a long-term relationship between FDI and economic growth in the two regions according to the results of Granger No - Causality Testing . But the Western Region is not the case.