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Rotation designs for experiments in high-bias situations
Institution:1. Department of Radiology, University of Illinois College of Medicine at Chicago, Chicago, Illinois 60612;2. Department of Radiology, University of Washington School of Medicine, Seattle, Washington 98105;3. Department of Medicine, University of Washington School of Medicine, Seattle, Washington 98104-2499;4. Department of Radiology, University of Washington School of Medicine, 825 Eastlake Avenue East, G3-200, Seattle, WA, 98109-1023;5. Department of Health Services, University of Washington School of Public Health, 825 Eastlake Avenue East, G3-200, Seattle, WA, 98109-1023;6. Hutchinson Institute for Cancer Outcomes Research, 825 Eastlake Avenue East, G3-200, Seattle, WA, 98109-1023;1. Kyushu University, 744, Moto’oka, Nishi-ku, Fukuoka 819-0395, Japan;2. Toyota Motor Corporation, 1 Toyota-Cho, Toyota City, Aichi 471-8571, Japan
Abstract:Many experiments in the physical and engineering sciences study complex processes in which bias due to model inadequacy dominates random error. A noteworthy example of this situation is the use of computer experiments, in which scientists simulate the phenomenon being studied by a computer code. Computer experiments are deterministic: replicate observations from running the code with the same inputs will be identical. Such high-bias settings demand different techniques for design and prediction. This paper will focus on the experimental design problem introducing a new class of designs called rotation designs. Rotation designs are found by taking an orthogonal starting design D and rotating it to obtain a new design matrix DR=DR, where R is any orthonormal matrix. The new design is still orthogonal for a first-order model. In this paper, we study some of the properties of rotation designs and we present a method to generate rotation designs that have some appealing symmetry properties.
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