| 基于灰色-马尔柯夫模型的西安房地产市场分析 |
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| 引用本文： | 孟周济,郭涛.基于灰色-马尔柯夫模型的西安房地产市场分析[J].西安建筑科技大学学报(社会科学版),2007,26(3):55-59. |
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| 作者姓名： | 孟周济 郭涛 |
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| 作者单位： | 1. 西安市房地产管理局,陕西,西安,710002;西安建筑科技大学,陕西,西安,710055
2. 西安建筑科技大学,陕西,西安,710055;河北建筑工程学院,河北,石家庄,075024 |
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| 摘 要： | 如何定量科学地预测房地产市场和走势,面对未知的市场,政府如何调控市场?开发商如何定位新项目?应用灰色系统与随机过程两种数学方法,在对房地产各指标的预测中,建立相应的灰色-马尔柯夫预测模型,并对西安市2006年的房地产走势做出预测。预测结果是2006年西安市普通住宅均价应在3200元/平方米左右,表现出稳中有升的趋势。
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| 关 键 词： | 房地产 灰色-马尔柯夫预测 价格 投资额 |
| 文章编号： | 1008-7192(2007)03-0055-05 |
| 修稿时间： | 2007年4月26日 |
The Analysis of Xi'an Estate Market Based on the Gray-Markov Forecast Model |
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| MENG Zhou-ji,GUO Tao.The Analysis of Xi''''an Estate Market Based on the Gray-Markov Forecast Model[J].Journal of Xi'an University of Architecture & Technology(Social Science Edition),2007,26(3):55-59. |
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| Authors: | MENG Zhou-ji GUO Tao |
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| Abstract: | The research of the scientifical forecast to the real estate market trend is imperfect.Facing the unknown market,how does the government regulate the market? How does the developer locate the new project? Gray system and Markov are applied in this article.It establishes the forecast model Gray-Markov to forecast the various real estate targets and forecast the real estate trend in Xi'an during 2006.The result is 3200 yuan per square-meter,the market trend is steady and improving in Xi'an. |
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| Keywords: | real estate gray-markov forecast model price |
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